Market Experiences "Claude Shockwave" One Year After "DeepSeek Moment"

Deep News09:29

AI startup Anthropic achieved a critical breakthrough this week with its enterprise-grade product strategy, prompting a market-wide reassessment of the AI competitive landscape. Its tools have triggered a chain reaction across global stock markets, leading to significant market capitalization erosion in sectors including software, legal services, financial data, and real estate, indicating a structural reshaping of the enterprise software market.

The five-year-old San Francisco-based company is conducting a substantial funding round at a valuation of approximately $35 billion and plans to initiate an IPO within the year. Since the beginning of 2024, its annualized revenue has surged from around $1 billion to over $9 billion projected by the end of 2025. According to media reports citing informed sources, the company anticipates annualized revenue will exceed $30 billion by the end of 2026 and expects to achieve breakeven for the first time in 2028, a milestone two years ahead of OpenAI's projected timeline.

Multiple industry-specific tools released by Anthropic this week continued to cause market turbulence. Following the launch of its latest flagship model, Claude Opus 4.6, share prices of software companies like Salesforce and Intuit came under renewed pressure. On Friday, Goldman Sachs announced a collaboration with Anthropic to develop automated banking AI agents, further validating the effectiveness of its enterprise-focused approach.

Dean Ball, a senior fellow at the Foundation for American Innovation, stated that the rapid adoption of Anthropic's models "represents the most impactful event in the AI space since the launch of ChatGPT." Investors are betting that its tools can systematically transform white-collar workflows, targeting not traditional IT budgets but the substantially larger pool of labor expenditures. This signals that AI competition has moved beyond the technology demonstration phase into a stage of substantive replacement of corporate operational cost structures.

**Enterprise Market Strategy Proves Effective**

Anthropic has chosen a commercialization path distinct from OpenAI, Alphabet, and Meta, forgoing consumer-facing products to position its AI models as tool-oriented products for developers and enterprises. This strategy received strong validation from market performance over the past week.

According to data from expense management startup Ramp, Anthropic dominated the AI model API expenditure market in January of this year, capturing nearly 80% share. This data reflects actual spending by users accessing AI models through third-party services. While previous surveys indicated OpenAI led in enterprise user base, Anthropic's market appeal in the enterprise segment is rising rapidly.

David Hsu, CEO of Retool, a startup that helps companies build and manage internal AI tools, commented, "Anthropic has always focused its efforts on the enterprise market, and they discovered the key to this lies in 'coding'."

Matt Murphy, a partner at Menlo Ventures, revealed that the Claude Code tool was initially for internal use at Anthropic. After validating its significant effectiveness, the company quickly productized it for external use. This week, Anthropic further released a series of specialized "plugin" tools for vertical industries such as legal, sales, finance, marketing, and customer support, continuously deepening its enterprise service ecosystem.

**Coding Capability Emerges as Core Competency**

The software engineering tool Claude Code, launched by Anthropic last year, has become a leader in its field. This system can read a company's existing codebase, autonomously plan, and execute tasks, marking an initial realization of AI "agent" capabilities. Investors anticipate this will open vast new markets, as AI models begin to possess the ability to handle complex tasks independently.

The tool has attracted a large number of developers and spawned an emerging group dubbed "Claude benders," referring to workers who use the tool for intensive, marathon-like application development. Early versions have amazed software engineers, with some users reporting that the latest model can compress projects originally planned to take years into a matter of weeks.

Its application scope is expanding beyond programming to non-technical roles and tech enthusiasts, with users highly praising its ability to control computers, use browsers, and perform tasks beyond coding.

Despite fierce competition from Alphabet and OpenAI, which just released an upgraded version of its Codex coding tool this week, some OpenAI supporters argue that "the coding market is not synonymous with the enterprise market; it remains essentially a developer domain." However, investors participating in Anthropic's current funding round, including Nvidia, Microsoft, and top-tier venture capital firms like Lightspeed, Sequoia Capital, and Altimeter Capital, are betting that the company's tools will transcend code generation to profoundly reshape white-collar workflows.

**Rewards of a Safety-First Strategy**

Anthropic was founded in 2021 by former members of OpenAI's research team, with co-founders including CEO Dario Amodei and his sister, President Daniela Amodei. Dario Amodei, a former researcher at Alphabet, left OpenAI due to disagreements with CEO Sam Altman.

The company has consistently cultivated and maintained a cautious, safety-focused public image, reinforced by its CEO's frequent long-form blog posts warning of the risks associated with unconstrained AI development. In 2022, citing concerns about potentially triggering an AI arms race, Anthropic voluntarily delayed the public release of its AI models. That November, OpenAI launched ChatGPT, rapidly capturing the market, while Anthropic did not release a competing product until months later.

For a considerable time, this delay led to perceptions that Anthropic was permanently lagging behind OpenAI. However, its long-term investment in safety has recently proven to be a critical advantage during the market's reassessment.

Anthropic pioneered "Reinforcement Learning from AI Feedback" technology, designed to ensure its models avoid harmful or unsafe outputs. Unlike ChatGPT's mechanism, which relies on human feedback for answer quality and safety, Anthropic uses AI systems to audit AI-generated content, with humans providing only guiding principles. Company executives state that this method not only helps reduce human bias but also significantly improves model iteration efficiency.

Twelve investors indicated that Anthropic's enterprise market appeal, clear product focus, and stable management team are increasingly viewed as a more robust long-term investment compared to OpenAI. Notably, all seven of Anthropic's co-founders remain with the company, whereas eight of OpenAI's eleven original founding members have departed since its 2015 founding, with CEO Sam Altman being briefly ousted by the board in 2023.

**Advertising Dispute Highlights Intensifying Competition**

This week, Anthropic publicly committed to not introducing advertisements into its products, differentiating itself from competitors like OpenAI, which is testing ads in ChatGPT. The company plans to reinforce this stance through a series of satirical advertisements aired during the Super Bowl, quoting lyrics from Dr. Dre: "What's the difference between me and you? You talk a good game, but you don't do what you're supposed to do."

Anthropic President Daniela Amodei stated the ads were not targeted at any specific company, but OpenAI CEO Sam Altman responded directly on X, accusing them of being "patently dishonest" and "consistent with Anthropic's usual double standards." He later downplayed the controversy on the tech podcast TBPN, calling it a "minor episode" and emphasizing that "model capabilities, product progress, and the industrial wave around Codex are what matter."

Despite warnings from industry leaders like Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang about potential market overreaction, noting that actual platform building is far more complex than it appears, tech giants including Microsoft, Amazon, Meta, Oracle, and Alphabet still plan capital expenditures exceeding $600 billion in 2026—a figure comparable to Japan's national budget for the same year and exceeding the GDPs of Germany and Mexico. The multi-scenario applications of Anthropic and its tools are a key driver behind this level of expenditure.

Neeraj Agrawal, a general partner at Battery Ventures, noted that companies might evaluate AI investments more cautiously this year, making the outcome difficult to predict. It is noteworthy that his firm has not invested in either Anthropic or OpenAI. He stated, "We are at the peak of the AI experimentation phase."

Currently, venture capital firms, corporate executives, and AI researchers widely believe the race is far from over. The rapid pace of AI technological iteration means today's leaders could be overtaken in the short term.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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