In a bid to secure a leading position in the artificial intelligence (AI) arena, Alphabet (GOOGL.US) is significantly increasing its capital expenditures to an unprecedented scale. The company recently reported quarterly revenue that surpassed market expectations and announced a substantial capital expenditure plan that far exceeded analyst forecasts. This plan is aimed at constructing data centers and infrastructure on a massive scale to gain a competitive edge in the AI era. Alphabet stated that its capital expenditure for this year will reach as high as $185 billion, significantly above the $119.5 billion analysts had previously anticipated. According to compiled data, its fourth-quarter sales, excluding partner distributions, reached $97.23 billion, also exceeding the average expectation of $95.2 billion. More notably, the projected total expenditure for 2026 is expected to surpass the sum of the internet search giant's capital expenditures over the past three years. Chief Executive Officer Sundar Pichai emphasized to investors that these investments are crucial. In a statement on Wednesday, he said, "We see AI investment and infrastructure driving revenue and growth across the board. Search query volume has hit record highs, and AI continues to drive expansive growth." Despite Pichai's repeated emphasis on the importance of AI investment, the news still surprised Wall Street. By Thursday's pre-market trading, Alphabet's stock price had fallen by over 4%.
The semiconductor supply chain emerged as the biggest winner. While investors digested this decision, stocks of companies like NVIDIA (NVDA.US) and Broadcom (AVGO.US) rose due to market expectations that Alphabet's massive spending would flow to its partner companies, bringing developmental benefits. According to Alphabet's plan, approximately 60% of the capital expenditure will be allocated to short-term assets, including TPUs and GPUs. Although specific allocation ratios were not disclosed, the sheer scale of its procurement was enough to drive up the stock prices of its partners. Broadcom is seen as the most direct beneficiary. As the primary design and manufacturing partner for Alphabet's custom TPU chips, the company has an extremely close business relationship with Alphabet. Bank of America pointed out that the Alphabet project could account for over 80% of Broadcom's AI computing sales. Boosted by this news, Broadcom's stock surged over 5% in pre-market trading at one point. However, analysts at J.P. Morgan noted that MediaTek is expected to secure a long-term 30%-40% market share of Alphabet's TPU chips, indicating that Broadcom is not the exclusive supplier, and the future competitive landscape warrants attention.
NVIDIA also received a significant boost. Despite Alphabet's strong push for its self-developed TPUs, CEO Sundar Pichai explicitly stated during the earnings call that the company offers customers a wide range of computing options, including its self-developed seventh-generation Ironwood TPU and the latest NVIDIA GPUs. This indicates that NVIDIA's GPUs remain an important option within the Alphabet Cloud platform. Its stock price also rose over 2% following the announcement. Additionally, AMD (AMD.US), another semiconductor company with partnerships with Alphabet in cloud computing and AI chips, is widely considered by the market to be a potential beneficiary.
Beyond core chip designers, upstream hardware manufacturers and component suppliers are also being swept up in this wave of capital expenditure. Celestica (CLS.US) is the assembly manufacturer for Alphabet's TPU servers. Although previous reports suggested that new versions of TPU servers might be assembled by other suppliers, which had put pressure on its stock, Alphabet's massive investment plan has reignited market confidence in its business, causing its stock to rebound and rise over 6% in pre-market trading. Lumentum (LITE.US), as a key supplier of optical interconnect components for data centers, sees its business directly linked to the scale of data center construction. Although its stock experienced volatility in pre-market trading after the news, the expansion of data center infrastructure will undoubtedly increase demand for its products in the long term.
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