《汇市短评》美国非农就业数据若不及预期，或引发新一轮美元抛售潮
路透6月5日 -
美元情绪已经在
看跌，如果继周三的双重打击之后，周五美国关键的非农就业数据再次逊于预期，美元可能遭受重创。
美国月度非农就业报告将于周五1230 GMT时公布，由于周三的美国数据逊于预期nZOS00DOBE，高盛将对美国5月新增非农就业岗位的预估值下调至 11 万个。路透调查的预估值为新增13万个。
非农就业数据若疲软，可能促使美国总统特朗普重复他在本周要求美联储主席鲍威尔降息的呼吁。这一呼吁是在ADP数据显示美国 5 月民间就业岗位增幅远低于预期之后几分钟发出的，随后公布的美国ISM服务业指数也低于50的荣枯分水线。nZOS00DOC0
市场目前认为美联储在6月18日降息的概率约为4%，在7月30日降息的概率为31%。 0#USDIRPR
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(Robert Howard是路透的市场分析师。以上内容仅代表其个人观点)(完)
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((yun.bai@thomsonreuters.com))
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