Economists Still Expect Lasting Energy Disruptions -- WSJ

Dow Jones03-24

By Chelsey Dulaney

President Trump may have signaled his willingness to negotiate with Iran, but economists are still betting the disruptions in global energy markets are far from over.

-- Goldman Sachs in a note late Monday reiterated its expectation that oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz will be disrupted through April 10. The bank lifted its oil forecasts, which now see Brent crude hitting $115 a barrel in April, shortly before Trump postponed new strikes on Iran's energy infrastructure on Monday morning.

-- Goldman said signs of progress on ending the conflict have led investors to price out more severe scenarios. But the bank highlighted factors that are likely to keep oil prices higher, including the need to replenish oil stockpiles that countries are now tapping.

-- Oxford Economics expects energy disruptions to last for the rest of the year and said Trump's postponement "does not materially change that assumption, though it does shift risks to the downside."

-- The Strait of Hormuz to remain impassable until May, when volumes could return to half of pre-conflict levels, Oxford said. European natural-gas prices are also likely to remain elevated throughout the year as buyers refill storage ahead of the winter.

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March 24, 2026 07:49 ET (11:49 GMT)

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