Canadian Unemployment Rate Not Expected to Hinder Central Bank Policy Decisions -- Market Talk

Dow Jones03-24

1040 ET - A shrinking population and labor force in Canada are set to pull the country's unemployment rate lower, countering more dovish arguments a rising jobless rate could hinder the Bank of Canada's policy response to what is emerging as a major positive inflation shock, Scotiabank's Derek Holt says. The economist says the lagging look at population in Statistics Canada's labor force survey will show a downward correction going forward, so that the unemployment rate is likely to push lower to 6% and possibly below. Holt says some doves are talking about the unemployment rate heading to 7%, but reckons that with it already at 6.7% Bank of Canada "Governor Macklem would hit snooze on that forecast" even if it weren't more likely to go down. (robb.stewart@wsj.com; @RobbMStewart)

(END) Dow Jones Newswires

March 24, 2026 10:41 ET (14:41 GMT)

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