$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI-To The Moon - Tiger Brokers Online Investing Community - To The Moon

$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$

Super Micro Computer (SMCI) has gained 16%, fueled by strong AI-driven demand. With the upcoming 10-K filing, investors are watching for potential catalysts—but will it reveal anything new, or is the stock’s trajectory already set?

Why the 10-K May Be a Non-Event

No Major Surprises Expected – SMCI has been transparent in earnings calls, and the 10-K is unlikely to contain game-changing updates.

Momentum Already in Play – The rally is largely driven by AI sector strength and institutional accumulation, not regulatory filings.

Fundamentals Remain Strong – The company’s growth trajectory is well-established, making the 10-K more of a routine disclosure than a market-moving event.

What Could Still Matter?

Margins & Cost Trends – Investors may look for confirmation that SMCI is maintaining profitability amid rising demand.

Future Guidance Clues – Any subtle hints on expansion, supply chain stability, or AI server demand could reinforce the bullish case.

Market Sentiment Shift? – If broader tech trends weaken, even a routine filing could be used as a reason for short-term profit-taking.

Trading Strategy: Stay Focused on Bigger Catalysts

For Bulls: The uptrend remains intact; dips could be buying opportunities.

For Bears: With no expected surprises, shorting based on the filing alone may not be ideal—watch for external factors instead.

Final Thoughts

While the 10-K filing may not bring new revelations, SMCI’s AI-driven growth story remains the key focus. The stock’s momentum is likely to depend more on sector trends and earnings outlook rather than routine disclosures.

SMCI Roller Coaster: Are Risks Mounting?

Despite hitting a record $7.22B in quarterly revenue, Supermicro faces mounting risks—nearly 60% of its revenue comes from just two clients, 73% of receivables are under pressure, and a $150M financial gap needs fixing. Goldman Sachs’ latest report highlights valuation concerns. ----------------- As a shadow stock of Nvidia, which do you think is a better "buy the dip" opportunity—SMCI or Nvidia? Is SMCI's valuation reasonable? What is your target price for SMCI?

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

windy00
02-19
windy00
I will wait for 10-K to decide whether to buy SMCI. Cause the last big drop is still intimidating for me.

Leave a comment

1

2

{"i18n":{"language":"en_US"},"detailType":1,"isChannel":false,"data":{"magic":2,"id":405181651853720,"tweetId":"405181651853720","gmtCreate":1739942136343,"gmtModify":1739942860026,"author":{"id":4121482349085112,"idStr":"4121482349085112","authorId":4121482349085112,"authorIdStr":"4121482349085112","name":"KKLEE","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9cd26c37fb357178b3bab615cfeafdf2","vip":1,"userType":1,"introduction":"","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"9427a906234c4b18a82ec3d7730b7fa8-1","templateUuid":"9427a906234c4b18a82ec3d7730b7fa8","name":"Star Contributor","description":"Published at least 3 PICK posts (or 10 IDEA posts) and, within the past 30 days, posted at least 1 PICK post (or 4 IDEA posts) and 1 comment","bigImgUrl":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1866dcf97a73be1c330f85862546aedc","smallImgUrl":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4f5c5fa8e2c7683bb5a7fce8753ee456","redirectLinkEnabled":1,"redirectLink":"https://ttm.financial/activity/market/2023/star-contributors/","hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2024.12.18","individualDisplayEnabled":0},"individualDisplayBadges":[],"fanSize":453,"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[{"themeId":"700fffe62dc143f78bf42e3cae1ed768","categoryId":"7a15628ce2174325bddc6229505e0d70","name":"SMCI Roller Coaster: Are Risks Mounting?","type":0,"rnLink":"https://laohu8.com/RN?name=RNTheme&page=/theme/detail&rndata={\"themeId\":700fffe62dc143f78bf42e3cae1ed768}&rnconfig={\"headerBarHidden\": true}","description":"Despite hitting a record $7.22B in quarterly revenue, Supermicro faces mounting risks—nearly 60% of its revenue comes from just two clients, 73% of receivables are under pressure, and a $150M financial gap needs fixing. Goldman Sachs’ latest report highlights valuation concerns.\n-----------------\nAs a shadow stock of Nvidia, which do you think is a better \"buy the dip\" opportunity—SMCI or Nvidia? Is SMCI's valuation reasonable? What is your target price for SMCI?\n","image":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2c781ca3214c5166306d03e245e4f6a0"}],"images":[],"coverImages":[],"html":"<html><head></head><body><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SMCI\">$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$&nbsp;</a>&nbsp;\n<p>Super Micro Computer (SMCI) has gained 16%, fueled by strong AI-driven demand. With the upcoming 10-K filing, investors are watching for potential catalysts—but will it reveal anything new, or is the stock’s trajectory already set?</p>\n<p>Why the 10-K May Be a Non-Event</p>\n<p>No Major Surprises Expected – SMCI has been transparent in earnings calls, and the 10-K is unlikely to contain game-changing updates.</p>\n<p>Momentum Already in Play – The rally is largely driven by AI sector strength and institutional accumulation, not regulatory filings.</p>\n<p>Fundamentals Remain Strong – The company’s growth trajectory is well-established, making the 10-K more of a routine disclosure than a market-moving event.</p>\n<p>What Could Still Matter?</p>\n<p>Margins &amp; Cost Trends – Investors may look for confirmation that SMCI is maintaining profitability amid rising demand.</p>\n<p>Future Guidance Clues – Any subtle hints on expansion, supply chain stability, or AI server demand could reinforce the bullish case.</p>\n<p>Market Sentiment Shift? – If broader tech trends weaken, even a routine filing could be used as a reason for short-term profit-taking.</p>\n<p>Trading Strategy: Stay Focused on Bigger Catalysts</p>\n<p>For Bulls: The uptrend remains intact; dips could be buying opportunities.</p>\n<p>For Bears: With no expected surprises, shorting based on the filing alone may not be ideal—watch for external factors instead.</p>\n<p>Final Thoughts</p>\n<p>While the 10-K filing may not bring new revelations, SMCI’s AI-driven growth story remains the key focus. The stock’s momentum is likely to depend more on sector trends and earnings outlook rather than routine disclosures.</p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SMCI\">$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$&nbsp;</a>&nbsp;\n<p>Super Micro Computer (SMCI) has gained 16%, fueled by strong AI-driven demand. With the upcoming 10-K filing, investors are watching for potential catalysts—but will it reveal anything new, or is the stock’s trajectory already set?</p>\n<p>Why the 10-K May Be a Non-Event</p>\n<p>No Major Surprises Expected – SMCI has been transparent in earnings calls, and the 10-K is unlikely to contain game-changing updates.</p>\n<p>Momentum Already in Play – The rally is largely driven by AI sector strength and institutional accumulation, not regulatory filings.</p>\n<p>Fundamentals Remain Strong – The company’s growth trajectory is well-established, making the 10-K more of a routine disclosure than a market-moving event.</p>\n<p>What Could Still Matter?</p>\n<p>Margins &amp; Cost Trends – Investors may look for confirmation that SMCI is maintaining profitability amid rising demand.</p>\n<p>Future Guidance Clues – Any subtle hints on expansion, supply chain stability, or AI server demand could reinforce the bullish case.</p>\n<p>Market Sentiment Shift? – If broader tech trends weaken, even a routine filing could be used as a reason for short-term profit-taking.</p>\n<p>Trading Strategy: Stay Focused on Bigger Catalysts</p>\n<p>For Bulls: The uptrend remains intact; dips could be buying opportunities.</p>\n<p>For Bears: With no expected surprises, shorting based on the filing alone may not be ideal—watch for external factors instead.</p>\n<p>Final Thoughts</p>\n<p>While the 10-K filing may not bring new revelations, SMCI’s AI-driven growth story remains the key focus. The stock’s momentum is likely to depend more on sector trends and earnings outlook rather than routine disclosures.</p></body></html>","text":"$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ Super Micro Computer (SMCI) has gained 16%, fueled by strong AI-driven demand. With the upcoming 10-K filing, investors are watching for potential catalysts—but will it reveal anything new, or is the stock’s trajectory already set? Why the 10-K May Be a Non-Event No Major Surprises Expected – SMCI has been transparent in earnings calls, and the 10-K is unlikely to contain game-changing updates. Momentum Already in Play – The rally is largely driven by AI sector strength and institutional accumulation, not regulatory filings. Fundamentals Remain Strong – The company’s growth trajectory is well-established, making the 10-K more of a routine disclosure than a market-moving event. What Could Still Matter? Margins & Cost Trends – Investors may look for confirmation that SMCI is maintaining profitability amid rising demand. Future Guidance Clues – Any subtle hints on expansion, supply chain stability, or AI server demand could reinforce the bullish case. Market Sentiment Shift? – If broader tech trends weaken, even a routine filing could be used as a reason for short-term profit-taking. Trading Strategy: Stay Focused on Bigger Catalysts For Bulls: The uptrend remains intact; dips could be buying opportunities. For Bears: With no expected surprises, shorting based on the filing alone may not be ideal—watch for external factors instead. Final Thoughts While the 10-K filing may not bring new revelations, SMCI’s AI-driven growth story remains the key focus. The stock’s momentum is likely to depend more on sector trends and earnings outlook rather than routine disclosures.","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/405181651853720","repostId":0,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":921,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":["SMCI"],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":1373,"optionInvolvedFlag":false,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[{"id":405201240072408,"commentId":"405201240072408","gmtCreate":1739945653627,"gmtModify":1739947971975,"authorId":3479274759070660,"author":{"id":3479274759070660,"idStr":"3479274759070660","authorId":3479274759070660,"name":"windy00","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/38b1d941a51e1a5f1ca29e3f8ce62213","vip":8,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":405181651853720,"objectIdStr":"405181651853720","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"I will wait for 10-K to decide whether to buy SMCI. Cause the last big drop is still intimidating for me.","text":"I will wait for 10-K to decide whether to buy SMCI. Cause the last big drop is still intimidating for me.","html":"I will wait for 10-K to decide whether to buy SMCI. Cause the last big drop is still intimidating for me.","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0,"disclaimerType":0}],"isCommentEnd":false,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/405181651853720"}