Nvidia GTC 2025: What's Your Trading Plan at $120?

Spiders
03-24

Nvidia (NVDA) has been the center of attention in the stock market, driven by its dominance in AI, data centers, and GPUs. However, despite its strong fundamentals, the stock's price feels too high for me, and I don’t plan to buy it—whether there’s good news, bad news, or no news.

NVIDIA (NVDA)

Why I’m Staying on the Sidelines?

1. Valuation Feels Too High

Nvidia's stock has seen massive gains over the past few years, and while its business remains strong, the valuation appears stretched. Many investors are chasing the AI boom, which may have led to excessive optimism and overpricing.

2. The Market’s Overfocus on Nvidia

There’s an overwhelming amount of hype surrounding Nvidia, which makes me cautious. When too many investors are piling into a stock, the risk of a correction increases. I prefer to invest where there’s less attention and more upside potential.

3. Uncertainty Around Future Growth

Nvidia is a fantastic company, but the market tends to price in years of future growth in advance. Even if the company continues to perform well, the stock may not deliver significant gains unless earnings growth exceeds already high expectations.

4. Not Buying Even If It Dips

Some might consider buying if Nvidia drops to $100 or below, but I still wouldn’t. Why? Because I feel I’ve already missed the best buying opportunities, and chasing the stock now—just because it dips slightly—doesn’t guarantee good returns. Instead, I’d rather wait for a true undervaluation or look for alternative investment opportunities.

5. Hard to Find a Good Entry Point

Timing the market is always challenging, and with Nvidia’s current momentum, it’s tough to find an entry point that offers a strong risk-reward ratio. Rather than forcing a trade, I prefer to focus on stocks that offer a clearer buying opportunity.

Alternative Strategies

Since I’m not planning to buy Nvidia, here are some alternatives I’m considering:

  • Looking for Less-Hyped AI Plays: Instead of Nvidia, I might explore companies that benefit from AI but are not as overhyped. This could include semiconductor suppliers, cloud computing companies, or AI software firms.

  • Exploring Other Growth Stocks: Some tech stocks have been overshadowed by Nvidia. Companies with strong growth potential but lower valuations could present better opportunities.

  • Waiting for a Market Pullback: If the overall market corrects, Nvidia and other high-flying stocks could see more attractive entry points. Patience is key.

  • Considering ETFs Instead of Individual Stocks: AI and semiconductor ETFs could offer exposure to Nvidia’s sector while reducing the risk of overpaying for a single stock.

Final Thoughts

Nvidia remains a strong company, but that doesn’t mean it’s a great buy at any price. Right now, I feel I’m too late to the Nvidia trade, and I’d rather wait for better opportunities elsewhere.

PE at a Historic Low! Would You Bottom Nvidia at $80?
Nvidia was down 33% from its high of $153.13. However, the last time Nvidia peaked at $346 (pre-split) in 2021, it declined 68% to $108 before bottoming out. Its PE and Forward PE both dip to a record low of 30 and 20. Now, with voices emerging that the semiconductor bull run is over, is the current correction far from enough? Its historic low of forward pe is 18 in 2025. If Nvidia further falls to $83, its forward pe will surpass the level in 2015. Would you bottom Nvidia at $80 or DCA now as it at a historic low level?
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

  • Tiger_CashBoostAccount
    03-26
    Tiger_CashBoostAccount
    Great job on your latest stock market success! Your commitment to research and analysis is evident in your results.Trade with Tiger Cash Boost Account and use contra trading toenhance your strategies."Welcome to open a CBAtoday and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000with upcoming 0-commission, unlimited trading on SG, HKand US stocks. as well as ETFs.
  • Venus Reade
    03-25
    Venus Reade
    Nvidia is a great company, no doubt of it, but it seems like investors aren´t trusting Huang that much. I believe THAT is also hurting the stock price.
  • Mortimer Arthur
    03-25
    Mortimer Arthur
    when and if this dips I've got dry powder ready... and if it really dips I've got a buy limit in. Nvidia is AI
  • doozii
    03-24
    doozii
    Your caution makes sense.
Leave a comment
4
23