Pre-Earnings Decision: Lululemon (LULU)

Bite Faang
03-26

As of March 26, 2025, Lululemon trades at $337.35 , slightly above its near-term support zone ($332–$335). Here’s the strategic breakdown:

Key Considerations:

Catalyst-Driven Setup :

Earnings could trigger a breakout above resistance ($368.77) if U.S. sales/margin trends surprise positively.

Downside risk exists if inventory concerns or slowing traffic dominate the narrative.

Positioning:

Entry: Current price (~$337) offers a 3–5% buffer above critical support.

Risk Management: A close below $332 would invalidate the support thesis.

Sentiment & Liquidity :

Analysts are cautious (13 Holds vs. 8 Buys), but institutional heavyweights like FMR LLC and Vanguard hold significant stakes.

Short interest is moderate (recent ratios: 12–19%), reducing squeeze potential but reflecting skepticism.

Valuation:

P/E of 24.3x and ROE of 46% suggest growth is priced in, but margins must justify premium multiples.

Actionable Verdict:

Tactical Entry: Allocate a partial position (e.g., 50% of intended exposure) near $337, reserving capital to average down if it dips toward $332–$335. Use a tight stop-loss (~$330) to mitigate earnings volatility.

Rationale: The setup balances LULU’s brand resilience against near-term operational risks. Post-earnings, either scale in on strength (above $368) or exit if support breaks.

Look at the option volumn, big volumn is opt for PUT, sell trend continue for $Lululemon Athletica(LULU)$  

@CaptainTiger  @TigerStars  

After Lululemon Makes a Comeback, Target Price is $400?
Lululemon raised its profit outlook for the full year while also beating market expectations for earnings in the first quarter, driving shares up 9.73% in extended trading. ------------------ After making a comeback with this earnings, Has LULU's stock price stabilized? What's your target price for Lululemon? Have you bought Lululemon's product?
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Comments

  • Merle Ted
    03-27
    Merle Ted
    Huge uprise will follow earnings, 350 by next week without a doubt!
  • LisaEffie
    03-27
    LisaEffie
    Great analysis! Excited for the earnings! [Wow]
  • Mortimer Arthur
    03-27
    Mortimer Arthur
    Extremely undervalued for momentum
  • JimmyHua
    03-27
    JimmyHua
    Great thougths and insights!
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