Mkoh
03-27

Both are Hong Kong-listed Chinese companies with strong growth, but they operate in different sectors—Mixue in beverages and Pop Mart in pop culture toys.

Mixue Group (2097.HK)

Business: Operates over 46,000 stores globally, selling affordable bubble tea, ice cream, and coffee under a franchise model.

Financials: For 2024, revenue rose 22% to 24.8 billion yuan ($3.42 billion USD), with net profit up 40% to 4.5 billion yuan ($613 million USD). Its IPO on March 3, 2025, raised $444 million, and the stock has climbed significantly since debut.

Strengths: Low-price model thrives in cost-conscious markets, with rapid expansion across Asia. High profit margins and strong returns reflect efficiency.

Risks: Recent listing means a short public track record. It’s exposed to commodity price swings (e.g., dairy, sugar) and has shown some volatility.

Pop Mart (9992.HK)

Business: Sells pop toys (e.g., blind boxes) with 39 million registered customers in China (43.9% repeat rate). Overseas revenue is growing, reaching 26%-32% in 2024.

Financials: Profit surged 188% in 2024, with 2025 revenue projected at 20 billion yuan (50% growth). The stock has risen 495% over the past year but trades at a high forward P/E of 32.4.

Strengths: Proven growth, diversified markets, and strong IP-driven brand loyalty. Volatility has remained moderate.

Risks: High valuation risks a correction if growth slows. Dependence on trendy IPs could weaken if popularity fades.

Comparison

Growth: Pop Mart’s 188% profit jump outpaces Mixue’s 40%, but Mixue’s 22% revenue growth is solid for its scale. Pop Mart’s 50% projected 2025 growth slightly leads.

Stability: Mixue’s recession-resistant sector and lower valuation suggest less downside risk. Pop Mart’s premium pricing and trend reliance add volatility.

Valuation: Mixue appears cheaper relative to earnings growth, while Pop Mart’s high P/E signals potential overvaluation.

Risk: Mixue faces commodity and franchise risks; Pop Mart’s IP cyclicality and regulatory pressures are key concerns.

Verdict

Mixue (2097.HK) is the better investment for safety and value. Its essential product category and early-stage listing offer growth potential with less froth, ideal for risk-averse investors.

Pop Mart (9992.HK) excels for aggressive growth, with a strong track record and global reach, suiting those open to higher risk and possible pullbacks.

POP Mart Rockets With Labubu 3.0! Too Late to Bet on Money Machine?
On April 25, Pop Mart’s app topped the Shopping category on the US App Store — its first time ever reaching No.1 in this ranking. The LABUBU 3.0 series also sold out instantly during its online launch in mainland China on the evening of April 24. Pop Mart’s stock surged 12% yesterday, hitting a new all-time high. With LABUBU’s global popularity skyrocketing, is it already too late to jump on the bandwagon? Do you have confidence in Pop Mart’s new IPs like Crybaby? Between Molly and Labubu, which one do you prefer?
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

  • BlithePullan
    03-28
    BlithePullan
    Wow, great insights! Love the comparison! [Heart]
  • tiger_cc
    03-28
    tiger_cc
    Your analysis is spot on!
  • marketpre
    03-28
    marketpre
    Great comparison
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