Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading analysis with you!
1.
WHY "RADIO SILENT"? $S&P 500(.SPX)$
(1) Many asked me why I went "off-line" last Fri, totally turning off the market.
(2) because I want to guard against the trigger-happy MPW to "take profits earlier."
(3) ask yourself: with a 130K profit last Fri of your put position, would you hold? I did!
2.
"Buy the dips"--many bag-holder bulls are screaming for help.
Who?
With WHAT?
[All those who are eager to buy the dips already fired out their bullets last time around; now, it is up for the previous dip-buyers to get desperate and become sellers. That would be a good bottom]
3.
No Capitulation, No Bottom:
(1) one reliable indicator of a sustainable bottom [at least for a few weeks] requires VIX to pierce its upper BB band;
(2) With $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ stays at 21, this selloff is FAR from over. In fact, it needs VIX to top 28: that means 150+ SPX pts INTRA-DAY move.
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4.
[[ ๐ผBonus Point-Prediction on 3/27๐๏ธ ]] -- unless there is some miraculous policy U-turn from the White House, I think my "SPX will gap down 3/31 too" has good chance to be true. Mind you: that was predicted 4 days ago๐--if you think this is easy, and normal, think again. ๐
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5.
Three Predictions for 3/31:
(1) SPX will gap down near 5560, and hit a low around 10:30am.
(2) the rebound thereafter tries to refill the opening gap, but fails--barely--to do so.
(3) the whipsaws during the day forms a W-shaped pattern, and closes near 5560, hence a RED DOJI.
Lastly, if you want to look for another choice, try it!
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