If there’s one thing we’ve learned about Michael Saylor, it’s that he doesn’t play small. Whether it’s turning $Strategy(MSTR)$ into a Bitcoin vault or making audacious price predictions, Saylor is all-in. With Bitcoin fuelling MSTR’s latest rally, the question is: Will another stock split follow? And how seriously should we take his bold $13 million Bitcoin forecast?
Saylor’s prophecy—visionary genius or crypto’s ultimate moonshot?
Stock Split: A Calculated Move, Not a Knee-Jerk Reaction
MicroStrategy has a history of stock splits, but they are far from routine. The last forward split (10-for-1 in August 2024) was a response to soaring share prices, making the stock more accessible to retail investors. Before that, in 2002, a desperate reverse split (1-for-10) helped avoid delisting—a stark contrast to today’s bullish scenario.
While MSTR’s current price ($300 range) is far from its pre-split 2024 high of $1,360, history suggests that another split is unlikely unless shares push back toward four-digit territory. With a market cap of $79.2 billion and a high volatility beta of 3.37, a split could still serve as a liquidity booster, but only if Bitcoin’s next rally propels MSTR toward its previous highs.
Saylor’s $13 Million Bitcoin Bet: Hyperbole or Hidden Genius?
Saylor’s $13 million Bitcoin price target is either an act of brilliance or the financial world’s wildest moonshot. His model assumes that 7% of global wealth will eventually find its way into Bitcoin, displacing traditional assets like stocks, bonds, and real estate. Based on today’s global financial assets, that could translate into an extraordinary valuation shift.
For context, Bitcoin is currently trading around $82,753.59, meaning Saylor’s base-case scenario implies a 15,609% gain (a 157x return) by 2045, or a 28.6% annualised return. Even in his bear case ($3 million per BTC), Bitcoin would still see a 36x increase, making MSTR an unparalleled leveraged bet on Bitcoin’s long-term trajectory.
Saylor’s audacious $13 million Bitcoin prediction, targeted for 2045, represents not just a moon shot but an entire interplanetary expedition in the realm of financial forecasting.
The High-Stakes Gamble: MSTR’s Bitcoin Obsession
$Strategy(MSTR)$ has evolved from a software firm into a Bitcoin accumulation vehicle. As of March 16, 2025, MSTR holds over 500,000 BTC, acquired at an average cost of $33.1 billion. Today, that stash is worth approximately $41.9 billion, accounting for more than half of MSTR’s total market capitalisation.
MSTR rides Bitcoin’s waves—volatility is the name of the game
However, this isn’t just a passive buy-and-hold strategy—it’s an aggressive accumulation plan. The company has continuously raised funds through both debt and equity offerings, recently securing $711 million through preferred stock to buy even more Bitcoin. Looking ahead, MSTR plans to execute its "21/21 plan"—raising $21 billion in equity and another $21 billion in fixed-income securities to continue expanding its holdings.
While MSTR’s Bitcoin strategy dominates headlines, its core software business contributed only $124 million in revenue last quarter, highlighting how the company has essentially transformed from a technology firm to a highly leveraged Bitcoin investment vehicle.
Regulatory Risks: The Wild Card
Looming regulatory uncertainties—including potential changes to cryptocurrency taxation, SEC scrutiny of corporate crypto holdings, and international regulatory frameworks—represent significant yet often underappreciated risks to MSTR's Bitcoin-centric strategy. While Bitcoin’s adoption is growing, any sudden regulatory shift could dramatically impact MSTR’s ability to maintain its aggressive accumulation strategy.
Investor Takeaway: MSTR’s Risk-Reward Profile
Balancing fortune and freefall on Bitcoin’s high-stakes wire
MSTR remains one of the most volatile ways to gain exposure to Bitcoin. Its 5-year beta of 3.37 signals extreme price swings, and its reliance on continuous capital raises introduces dilution risks. Additionally, with an EPS of -6.05 and no forward dividend, this is not a stock for those seeking stable financial fundamentals.
So, is another stock split imminent? History suggests it likely won’t happen unless $Strategy(MSTR)$ crosses the $1,000 threshold again. But for investors willing to endure the turbulence, the bigger question is whether Bitcoin’s trajectory justifies MSTR’s bold strategy. If Saylor’s even half right about Bitcoin’s future valuation, MSTR could be one of the most compelling plays in the market. If not? Well, history has seen its fair share of overzealous tech visionaries.
As always, fortune favours the bold—but only those who can stomach the ride.
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