Shifting entirely to Treasurie

Shifting entirely to Treasuries might protect capital, but it sacrifices growth.
Inflation risks could still erode real returns, even at higher yields.
Alternatives like dividend aristocrats or gold offer safety with upside.
Long-term investors shouldn’t time the market based on fear.
Partial hedging makes sense, but going all-in is too defensive.
Balance is better than retreat.

US Treasuries May Take Hit: Time to Go Short on TLT?

The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield briefly rose to 4.5% today, and TLT may face greater risks in the near term. China holds over $700 billion in U.S. Treasuries, and in an extreme scenario, if it decides to retaliate against the U.S. by dumping bonds on the market, short-term yields could come under significant upward pressure. While the Fed could step in and print money to buy, the room for yields to fall may be limited before this risk is fully priced in. Are you still holding U.S. Treasuries? What’s your trading strategy?

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