WendyOneP
04-11

While all eyes are on big banks for recession clues, Q1 may show resilience instead. Consumers are still spending, job markets are holding, and rate cuts are expected later this year. Unless we see sharp drops in lending or spikes in defaults, this might just be a “soft landing” story. Banks may signal caution, but that’s not the same as crisis. Watch for nuance, not panic.

25 Q1 Earnings Season: Will We See More Pessimistic Guidnace Like UNH?
UnitedHealth Q1 revenue came in at $109.575 billion, missing expectations of $111.51 billion but up from $99.796 billion a year earlier. The company now expects full-year adjusted EPS between $26 and $26.50, down from the previous forecast of $29.50 to $30. As UnitedHealth is a key component of the Dow Jones Industrial Average, the downbeat guidance sent Dow futures tumbling. Which company's earnings are you watching this season? Will this earnings season bring more pessimistic guidance? Could weaker outlooks drag U.S. equities into full-on recession trades?
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