AAPL - Salted Fish Resurrection This Week ?

Honestly did not see this coming. (see below)

And just like that, the likelihood of $Apple(AAPL)$ surging come Mon, 14 Apr 2025, when trading resumes just got a notch higher due to following favorable developments:

(1) Tariff Exemption Announcement:

• The Trump administration's decision to exempt Apple products, including iPhones, from massive tariffs on Chinese goods is a significant & positive catalyst.

• This exemption removes concerns about higher production costs and potential price hikes for consumers, which could have negatively impacted Apple's profitability and sales.

(2) Its Recent Performance:

• AAPL has already shown strong recovery in response to tariff-related news. (see above)

• On Wed, 9 Apr 2025, it surged +15%, after President Trump announced a temporary pause on tariffs.

• This indicates investor optimism & confidence in the company's ability to navigate trade tensions, marking its best day since 1998.

(3) Broader Market Rally:

• The stock market experienced a powerful rebound last week, with major indexes like the $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ composite rising by +7.3%.

• This bullish sentiment could further support AAPL's upward momentum, in the coming week/s.

(4) Analyst Upgrades and Predictions:

• Analysts have expressed bullish views on AAPL's prospects.

• For instance, $Jefferies Financial Group Inc.(JEF)$ recently upgraded its outlook for Apple to “Hold” from “Underperform” (see above) and projecting a potential upside of nearly +48.56% over the next year.

• Additionally, short-term forecasts predict modest gains for AAPL in the coming days, with a price range between $199.51 - $219.46 for week beginning 14 Apr 2025.

Expected Price Movement

Based on technical forecasts and recent trends:

• AAPL's price is projected to increase by approximately +1%-2% come Monday, reaching around $200+ per share.

• If broader market sentiment remains optimistic and investors react positively to the tariff exemptions, the surge could exceed these estimates. (see above)

My viewpoints: (mine only)

For starters, I feel AAPL is likely to experience a notable rally on Monday due to (a) favourable macroeconomic developments, (b) strong investor sentiment surrounding the tariff exemptions and (c) not to mention punters at play.

Honestly, looking at the vast amount of chaos inflicted by Trump, I feel also investors should initially discount his “bitch-fits” and not take it that seriously.

Apart from the fact that they are whims of fancy, not well thought through at all OR quality of his cabinet is called into questions:

• If the House of Representatives don’t lift a finger to manage him, logically speaking the Senate should.

• And if the Senate (due to party majority) don’t, US markets (equity and bond) will arm-wrestle him, whether he likes it or not.

Finally if US market cannot man-handle the mad-hatter, US citizens would because of the chaos brought to their lives in terms of rising costs, shrinking job opportunities, social unrest..

Should it comes to this, it will be a tragic for civil unrest to reign and US stock market would have collapsed prior. This is a bit dramatic (I know) but when it comes to Trump, never say never…

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• Do you think APPL will “recover” this week ?

• Do you think concerns should still be exhibited when it comes to Trump’s policies but discount them at face value and wait for all the elements to take care of it ?

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