Chagee's IPO Frenzy: Can Its Low Valuation Spark a Day-One Surge?

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Tiger_SG
04-16
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$Chagee Holdings Limited(CHA)$ , one of China's fastest-growing tea beverage chains, is officially going public this week — and its IPO is drawing serious attention from both retail and institutional investors.

Chagee Joins $333 Billion Market Boom with US IPO Filing - The Exchange Asia

IPO Details

  • Issue Price: US$26-28

  • Total Fundraising: ~US$410 million

  • Implied Valuation: ~US$5.1 billion (≈HK$39.6B)

At the IPO price, Chagee’s estimated market cap of US$5.1 billion puts it close to Guming. Compared to Mixue, it makes 50% of the revenue, but only has 25% of the valuation.

  • Chagee’s revenue (CNY ¥12.41B) is roughly 50% of Mixue’s.

  • Its net profit (CNY ¥2.52B) is 56% of Mixue’s and 1.68× Guming’s.

By earnings power alone, Chagee appears undervalued. Its profitability outpaces Guming and holds up strongly against Mixue — yet its valuation lags far behind.

Does that spell underpricing? Or is the market rightfully cautious?

Global Reach: A Singapore Story

Chagee isn’t just a domestic brand anymore. It now runs over 4,500 stores worldwide, and boasts 130 million registered members.

In Singapore, its presence is rising fast: Stores at Orchard Road, Raffles City, and other prime locations

Southeast Asia’s tea wars are heating up, and Singapore is at the heart of it.

But Not All Smooth Tea...

Chagee is listing in the US, not Hong Kong — meaning it could face de-listing risk amid US-China tensions. Tariff pressures and rising geopolitical scrutiny may impact long-term sentiment. Southeast Asia’s tea market is saturated, and brand loyalty can shift quickly

  • Will Chagee pop on day one like early Bubble Tea IPOs $MIXUE BINGCHENG CO LTD.(MXUBY)$?

  • Or will it follow the path of $NAYUKI(02150)$ , which saw early hype and then a painful correction?

  • As a Singapore-based consumer/investor, do you feel Chagee has stronger resonance here than Mixue or Heytea?

Join our topic and post directly: Chagee's IPO Frenzy: Can Its Low Valuation Spark a Day-One Surge? or leave your comments to win tiger coins~

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Chagee Soars on Debut: Take Profits or Hold on Tight?
Chagee went public and surged 15% on Thursday. However, the stock closed lower than its open price. ------------ Can Chagee replicate the surge of Mixue group? Or repeat the down trend like Nayuki? Is the market expectations too high to fulfill? What's your target price for Chagee?
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Comments

  • icycrystal
    04-16
    icycrystal
    @Universe宇宙 @LMSunshine @koolgal @Shyon @Aqa @rL @SPACE ROCKET @TigerGPT @GoodLife99 @HelenJanet

    $Chagee Holdings Limited(CHA)$ , one of China's fastest-growing tea beverage chains, is officially going public this week — and its IPO is drawing serious attention from both retail and institutional investors.

    At the IPO price, Chagee’s estimated market cap of US$5.1 billion puts it close to Guming. Compared to Mixue, it makes 50% of the revenue, but only has 25% of the valuation.

    Chagee’s revenue (CNY ¥12.41B) is roughly 50% of Mixue’s.


    Its net profit (CNY ¥2.52B) is 56% of Mixue’s and 1.68× Guming’s.


    Will Chagee pop on day one like early Bubble Tea IPOs $MIXUE BINGCHENG CO LTD.(MXUBY)$?


    Or will it follow the path of $NAYUKI(02150)$ , which saw early hype and then a painful correction?


    As a Singapore-based consumer/investor, do you feel Chagee has stronger resonance here than Mixue or Heytea?


    leave your comments to win tiger coins~

  • Shyon
    04-17
    Shyon
    As a Singapore-based consumer and investor, I’ve definitely noticed Chagee’s $Chagee Holdings Limited(CHA)$ growing presence here — with outlets at Orchard and Raffles City, they’re positioning themselves as a more premium, lifestyle-oriented brand. Compared to Mixue or Heytea, Chagee feels more curated and experience-driven, which seems to appeal to the urban crowd in Singapore.

    From an investment angle, the IPO pricing looks attractive. Chagee’s earnings strength stands out — nearly double Guming’s profit, yet it trades at a lower valuation. That suggests potential upside. Still, I understand the caution given US-China tensions and the risk of a future de-listing.

    If Chagee delivers on growth and manages sentiment well, it could shape up as a strong consumer growth story. Personally, I’m watching its post-IPO price action — if macro fears weigh it down early, that could be a solid entry opportunity.

    @Tiger_SG @TigerStars @Tiger_comments @TigerGPT

  • koolgal
    04-16
    koolgal
    🌟🌟🌟Chagee $Chagee Holdings Limited(CHA)$ is set to brave bearish market conditions as it seeks to raise about USD 400 million in its IPO debut this week.

    Compared to its competitor $MIXUEGROUP(02097)$ Chagee offers a more premium experience with higher quality ingredients and a wide range of healthier choice.

    Mixue's focus is on affordability and accessibility.   Can Chagee's IPO match the extraordinary success of Mixue's IPO in Hong Kong?  Mixue's share price has surged over 80% since its IPO in February this year.

    Chagee's business in China is doing very well.  It has 6,440 tea houses, 97% of which are in China at the end of 2024.  This is up 83% compared to 2023.  Net  Revenues

    • koolgal
      Net revenues rose 167.4% year on year to just under USD 1.7 billion.

      While I am excited about Chagee's IPO, I prefer to see how it performs before deciding to invest in Chagee.

  • Aqa
    04-16
    Aqa
    Chagee IPO frenzy is building up. Markets are looking up so it is quite sure Chagee will pop and pop on its first day of debut. This undervalued stock has already gathered serious attention from both retail and institutional investors. Many people like its tea culture and artistic packaging. Thanks @Tiger_SG @icycrystal
  • Tiger_SG
    04-18
    Tiger_SG
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    Thank you all for participating in Chagee’s discussion! The Tiger Coins have been distributed in the topic. Don’t forget to check your Tiger Coin Center or the notification push.
  • 1PC
    04-17
    1PC
    I prefer to wait for the Post IPO to read the chart 📉 📈 & consider the actions [Smile] . Good Luck 🤞 to the Share Holders who took the leap of faith during IPO phase 🙏. 🍀🤞
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