BigBear.ai Stock Plummets Amidst Losses and Bleak Outlook:
BigBear.ai's stock has significantly dropped (nearly 20% post-earnings, 39% YTD) following disappointing Q4 2024 results, missing revenue expectations ($43.8M vs. $53.84M) and reporting a larger loss per share (-$0.43 vs. -$0.06 expected).
The 2025 revenue guidance ($160M-$180M) also fell short of estimates ($193.9M), with a projected negative adjusted EBITDA. Concerns are amplified by potential defense budget cuts, a challenging macro environment, and substantial insider selling (over $78M).
Analyst downgrades further reflect the deteriorating sentiment, suggesting high uncertainty and elevated risks despite a theoretical average price target. A turnaround requires concrete evidence of profitability and operational stabilization.
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