KKLEE
04-24

$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ Markets have bounced — but is it the beginning of a true recovery, or just a classic dead cat bounce?

That’s the question I’ve been asking myself lately. After a brutal correction, the recent rebound feels hopeful... but also suspicious. One green week doesn’t erase weeks of selling pressure, macro uncertainty, or earnings downgrades.

So, how do I tell the difference?

Dead Cat Bounce Signs:

Sharp short-term rally after a steep fall

Driven by short-covering, not fresh inflows

Weak volume or leadership concentrated in oversold names

No major shift in fundamentals or macro tone

True Bottom Clues:

Broad market participation — not just a few names bouncing

Capitulation already happened — panic selling, high VIX, massive outflows

Signs of stability in inflation, interest rates, or economic data

Investor sentiment turning from fear to cautious accumulation

Right now? I think we’re somewhere in the middle. The market wants to recover — but it’s still fragile. One bad CPI print, Fed comment, or geopolitical twist could send us back to the lows. At the same time, if the rally holds and breadth improves, we might be watching a true bottom take shape in real time.

For now, I’m being cautious. Not all dips are buying opportunities — and not all rebounds are safe. I’m watching the data, protecting capital, and waiting for conviction to show up in the charts — and not just in the headlines.

So — dead cat or true bottom? We’ll know soon enough. Until then, I stay ready for both.

Dead Cat Bounce vs. True Bottom: Where Are We Now?
After a series of declines, the market has become increasingly cautious about any rebound. Most people believe this is merely a dead cat bounce in a bear market, with further drops likely to come. However, some argue that with Trump softening his stance on tariffs, the impact of tariffs on the market may lessen going forward. If a recession can be avoided, the market's downside potential might be limited. Investors are divided on where we are in the current cycle. What’s your take? Is this a dead cat bounce or have we already hit the bottom?
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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