JPM Anticipates Fed to Hold at the Upcoming FOMC Meeting【CSOP Fixed Income Weekly】

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CSOP AML
05-06

【SRT】

Last week, SRT gains were led by data centre, office and industrial by subsectors and KDCREIT, MPACT and DCREIT by individual REITs.

KDCREIT rose after UBS initiated coverage on the REIT with a buy rating as it expects rising AI adoption in Singapore to spur greater demand for data centre capacity, with demand anticipated to exceed supply and offset effects of competitive pressures.

$CSOP S-REITs INDEX ETF(SRT.SI)$ WTD Total Return: +0.85%

$Mapletree Ind Tr(ME8U.SI)$ $Keppel DC Reit(AJBU.SI)$ $Frasers Cpt Tr(J69U.SI)$ $CapLand IntCom T(C38U.SI)$

【MMF】

US Treasury markets saw key data releases and announcements. Q1 GDP -0.3% QoQ was below consensus expectations of -0.2%, while core PCE increased more than anticipated at 3.5% QoQ annualized (vs consensus expectations of 3.1%). This reflects the persistent growth-inflation tensions clouding the Fed’s rate trajectory.

April nonfarm payrolls data showed resilience with 177K gains (vs. 138K expected), steady 4.2% unemployment, and a slight participation rate rise to 62.6%, while 1Q GDP signaled no pre-April economic weakening. Thus, JPM expects unchanged Fed policy, upgrades 2Q growth to 1.5%, and maintains a 0.5% annualized 2H contraction forecast.

Money markets remain a favored haven due to inverted FF/2y curves and risk-asset volatility. Moreover, we expect CSOPUMM to continue to deliver stable yield in the near term. As of 20250502, the fund has a net yield at 4.14%. ^

$MMF Net 7-day Yield: +4.14%

^ 7-day net yield is calculated based on calendar days and NAVs in 5-decimal.

【CN】

PBOC deputy governor reiterated the PBOC’s pledge to deliver interest rate and required reserve ratio cuts at the right time. PBOC still has room for monetary easing, though the available room is small considering possible prolonged US-China tensions.

China’s Foreign Minister Wang Yi shared at the BRICS meeting that staying silent or compromising and backing down in the trade war will only embolden US, implying that China will not initiate a de-escalation. With that, looking ahead, China policy makers are likely to stay prudent and patient with regards to fresh policy support to prevent depleting available policy space.

Looking at YTD performance as of 2025/04/30, CYC/CYB’s NAV gained +0.36% in CNY and gained +0.86% in USD*.

* CYC/CYB/CYX USD NAV is converted based on benchmark FX, subject to rounding error

Global Market Outlook

【SG】Singapore’s PAP Secures Decade-High 66% Mandate, Empowering PM Wong to Tackle Trade Tensions and Cost Pressures

Singapore's ruling party, PAP, retained power with a decade-high 66% popular vote (up from 61% in 2020), securing 87 of 97 parliamentary seats, including five uncontested constituencies. Prime Minister Lawrence Wong’s strengthened mandate positions him to address trade tensions and persistent cost-of-living challenges.

【US】JPM Anticipates Fed to Hold at the Upcoming FOMC Meeting

The Fed will be meeting in the coming week. JPM expects unchanged Fed policy.

Source: CSOP, Bloomberg, JPM, and HSBC as of 2025/05/02, except where otherwise stated.

 

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SRT

The CSOP iEdge S-REIT Leaders Index ETF is not in any way sponsored, endorsed, sold or promoted by Singapore Exchange Limited and/or its affiliates (collectively, “SGX”) and SGX makes no warranty or representation whatsoever, expressly or impliedly, either as to the results to be obtained from the use of the iEdge S-REIT Leaders Index and/or the figure at which the iEdge S-REIT Leaders Index stand at any particular time on any particular day or otherwise. The iEdge S-REIT Leaders Index are administered, calculated, and published by SGX. SGX shall not be liable (whether in negligence or otherwise) to any person for any error in the CSOP iEdge S-REIT Leaders Index ETF and the iEdge S-REIT Leaders Index and shall not be under any obligation to advise any person of any error therein. “SGX” is a trademark of SGX and is used by CSOP under license. All intellectual property rights in the iEdge S-REIT Leaders Index vest in SGX.

CYC/CYB/CYX

The ICBC CSOP FTSE Chinese Government Bond Index ETF (the “ETF”) has been developed solely by CSOP Asset Management Pte. Ltd. The ETF is not in any way connected to or sponsored, endorsed, sold, or promoted by the London Stock Exchange Group plc and its group undertakings (collectively, the “LSE Group”). FTSE Russell is a trading name of certain of the LSE Group companies. All rights in the FTSE Chinese Government Bond Index (the “Index”) vest in the relevant LSE Group company which owns the Index. FTSE® is a trademark of the relevant LSE Group company which own the Index and is used by any other LSE Group company under license. The Index is calculated by or on behalf of FTSE International Limited or its affiliate, agent, or partner. The LSE Group does not accept any liability whatsoever to any person arising out of (a) the use of reliance on or any error in the Index or (b) investment in or operation of the ETF. The LSE Group does not accept any liability whatsoever to any person arising out of the use of the ETF or the underlying data. The LSE Group makes no claim, prediction, warranty, or representation either as to the results to be obtained from the ETF or the suitability of the Index for the purpose to which it is being put by CSOP Asset Management Pte. Ltd.

Modified in.05-08
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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