Key Points
One Wall Street analyst thinks Nio will see record quarterly sequential growth.
New EV offerings could help the stock surge, according to the Citigroup analyst.
Nio displayed one of its two new brands at the Shanghai Auto Show last week.
Shares of Chinese electric vehicle (EV) maker $NIO Inc.(NIO)$ have soared by almost 40% since the first week of April. One Wall Street analyst thinks that's just the beginning. Not only that, Citigroup analyst Jeff Chung believes more moves higher are imminent.
In a report Chung released on Sunday, the analyst placed Nio on a 30-day positive "catalyst watch," reports Barron's. Chung even thinks the stock is worth $8.10 per share, which would represent a more than 100% gain from where it traded at the time of his report.
Can Nio stock double?
Nio delivered about 42,000 EVs in the first quarter, a more than 40% year-over-year increase. Yet Chung still sees sales growth meaningfully accelerating from here. The new optimism comes after the company showcased its newest brands, Onvo and Firefly, at the 2025 Shanghai Auto Show last week.
Its flagship Onvo L90 SUV also made its debut at the show. Both sub-brands are aimed at more of a mass-market EV buyer, offering lower prices without sacrificing many of Nio's leading EV technologies. The auto show impacted Chung's opinion on the stock. He wrote, "After [the] Shanghai auto show, we expect NIO to launch new models much earlier than consensus expected."
That could mean 10 new models launching by the end of 2025. The analyst envisions that leading to more than 50% sequential delivery growth in the second quarter. He believes deliveries could soar to at least 63,000 units in what would be a record quarter.
Chung thinks investors should buy Nio stock now, with the stock expected to trend toward his $8.10 price target as those models launch and upcoming delivery reports show improved data. While I agree that Nio sales should grow at increasingly faster rates moving forward, the stock itself may not react immediately.
Investors buying now shouldn't be expecting a short-term move that the "catalyst watch" designation might imply. In the longer term, however, as sales figures show gains, Nio stock might react as Chung expects.
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