1.
Despite all the noise numbers tell us that $PDD Holdings Inc(PDD)$ is still gaining market shares in both China and international market.
Q1 2025 GROWTH IN CHINA:
• $Alibaba(BABA)$ +9%
• $JD.com(JD)$ +16% (government incentives boosted)
• $PDD Holdings Inc(PDD)$ +15% (GMV probably higher, revenue partially impacted by adv discounts)
Q1 2025 GROWTH IN INTERNATIONAL:
• If we consider Google trends Temu is outperforming Aliexpress and year over year.
• Looking at 2024 Temu GMV estimates PDD outperformed again Aliexpress and in growth rates.
• Same story with an even bigger gap for total App downloads.
• Obviously profitability of the model and retention rates will be the most important things in the long run, growth without profits worths less than 0.
2.
Bought more $Alibaba(BABA)$ and $PDD Holdings Inc(PDD)$ .
I still see better risk/reward in Chinese tech compared to US stocks.
During last months my China allocation decreased because of new US purchases so I decided to add on my positions, now I have a ~35% exposure to China.
Good or bad idea? 🤔
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