Dairy farm restructuring and chances of bouncing back

Mkoh
06-03

Dairy Farm International Holdings Limited, now known as DFI Retail Group, has undergone significant restructuring to address operational challenges, improve profitability, and create shareholder value. Operating across Asia with brands like Wellcome, Cold Storage, Giant, 7-Eleven, Guardian, and IKEA, the company has faced competitive pressures, particularly in its food retail segment.

Key Restructuring Efforts

Sale of Cold Storage and Giant in Singapore

The sale allows DFI to exit a competitive, low-margin grocery market, redirecting capital to faster-growing segments like health and beauty (Guardian) and convenience (7-Eleven). DFI’s Singapore supermarket operations returned to profitability in 2024 (US$57.8 million operating profit, up from US$45.3 million in 2023), but stable revenue projections due to competition prompted the divestiture. The deal, which involves no debt or liabilities for Macrovalue, supports DFI’s focus on shareholder returns, evidenced by a 5.3% share price increase on March 24, 2025, and a 29.7% rise in underlying profit to US$200.6 million for FY2024.

Challenges: The S$125 million price tag, described as “reasonable” by Macrovalue co-owner Andrew Lim, reflects the business’s recent recovery but is lower than other regional retail deals (e.g., Eu Yan Sang’s S$695 million sale), raising questions about valuation. Customer concerns include potential changes to exclusive products like Meadows and the Yuu loyalty program, which may not transfer to Macrovalue.

Disposal of Yonghui Superstores Stake:

Context: In 2015, DFI acquired a 19.99% stake in Yonghui Superstores, a leading Chinese supermarket chain, for approximately US$925 million, aiming to capitalize on China’s growing retail market. Yonghui initially performed well, adding over 600 stores by 2019 and contributing significantly to DFI’s sales growth. However, Yonghui’s performance weakened, with losses impacting DFI’s financials, and its reduced sales contributed to a 4% revenue drop for DFI in H1 2023.

Actions: Under new CEO Scott Price, DFI divested its Yonghui stake as part of a broader strategy to exit unprofitable businesses. The disposal, completed by 2024, resulted in a one-off non-cash loss of US$130 million but eliminated Yonghui’s ongoing losses (approximately US$27 million annually) from DFI’s books.

Impact: The Yonghui disposal, combined with lower financing costs and improved margins, is expected to drive a 29% year-on-year earnings growth in FY25, with core earnings projected to rise from US$220 million to US$259 million. This move allowed DFI to focus on higher-margin segments like health and beauty and convenience stores.

Positive Indicators

Improved Financial Performance: The disposal of Yonghui and other unprofitable businesses is projected to boost FY25 core earnings by 31% year-on-year, driven by a 4% growth in core operations, exclusion of Yonghui’s losses, and interest savings. H1 2023 results showed a return to profitability with a US$8 million net profit, supported by strong health and beauty and convenience store performance.

Focus on High-Margin Segments: The health and beauty division’s strong growth (e.g., Guardian’s performance in Malaysia and Indonesia) and the expansion of 7-Eleven as quick-service restaurants demonstrate DFI’s ability to capitalize on consumer trends. IKEA’s competitive positioning in home furnishings also adds stability.

Strategic Divestitures: Exiting loss-making ventures like Yonghui and optimizing underperforming stores (e.g., Giant conversions) reduces financial drag and reallocates capital to more profitable areas.

Strong Brand Portfolio: DFI’s well-known brands (Wellcome, 7-Eleven, Mannings, IKEA) enjoy high consumer trust and brand recognition, particularly in Hong Kong, providing a solid foundation for growth.

Sustainable Growth Focus: DFI’s commitment to sustainable development and community initiatives, like the “Breakfast Buddies” program with Wellcome, enhances its corporate reputation and customer loyalty, potentially driving long-term value.

Challenges and Risks

Competitive Pressures: Intense competition in food retail across Asia, with rising rental and labor costs in markets like Hong Kong and Singapore, continues to challenge profitability. DFI’s supermarket segment, including Cold Storage, struggles to maintain market share against competitors offering greater convenience and lower prices.

Restructuring Costs: Past restructurings incurred significant charges, such as the US$453 million in 2018 for Southeast Asia’s food business, which impacted net profit. The Yonghui disposal also resulted in a US$130 million non-cash loss, highlighting the short-term financial strain of such moves.

Macroeconomic and Regional Challenges: Economic slowdowns, geopolitical unrest (e.g., Hong Kong protests in 2019), and consumer shifts toward e-commerce pose risks to DFI’s retail operations. The company’s reliance on physical stores, despite e-commerce initiatives, may limit its agility.

Long-Term Turnaround Timeline: The transformation plan, estimated to take five years in 2019, requires sustained execution and patience from shareholders, which could pressure stock performance if results lag.

Conclusion

DFI Retail Group’s restructuring, including the sale or optimization of Cold Storage and Giant stores, disposal of Yonghui, and strategic shift toward health, beauty, and convenience retail, reflects a pragmatic approach to addressing underperformance. Early signs of success, such as improved earnings forecasts and strong segment performance, suggest DFI can create shareholder value over time. However, intense competition, restructuring costs, and a multi-year transformation timeline pose risks. With strong brands, a focus on consumer value, and disciplined execution, DFI has a reasonable chance of succeeding, but investors should monitor progress in its food retail recovery and regional market dynamics closely.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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