Gold's breakout to $3,400+ isnt just a technical surge — it's a reflection of structural macro shifts:
• Persistent real yield suppression despite “higher for longer” talk
• Central bank diversification (especially China and EMs buying gold, not dollars)
• Rising de-dollarisation sentiment amidst geopolitical fragmentation
📊 My current positioning:
Core long in gold via ETF (GLD) and futures from $2,420
Rotated ~25% gains into high-beta silver miners: $Pan American Silver(PAAS)$ , $First Majestic Silver(AG)$ , and $Amplify Junior Silver Miners ETF(SILJ)$ ETF
Watching for a healthy pullback to $3,350–3,370 to reload
📈 Predictions:
Gold: I expect a consolidation phase before resuming uptrend toward $3,700 by late Q4, driven by global risk aversion and possibly dovish central bank shifts post-US elections.
Silver: Structurally lagging, but if gold stays firm, silver could rally 20–25% in the second half. My upside range for silver is $35–38 — especially if we see renewed industrial demand headlines.
💡 Strategy Notes:
Gold = capital preservation / macro hedge
Silver = cyclical catch-up / momentum trade
Miners = leveraged plays, but beware cost inflation and FX exposure
If gold breaks $3,500 without correction, I:ll trail stops tighter. If silver breaks $32 on volume, I'll increase exposure to miners.
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