$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$
📊 What Just Happened
Cathie Wood’s ARKW sold $6M). The stock hit a record high and then sharply reversed. The move sparked concern, but let’s zoom out: ARK frequently rebalances winners to fund other high-conviction plays. It’s not necessarily a bearish call on Palantir itself.
📉 Why the Market Reacted So Fast
Palantir had been trading at stretched valuations — a forward P/E near 80 and a strong YTD run. The ARK sale was a psychological trigger for short-term traders to lock in profits. Classic “sell the news” behavior.
🔍 Fundamentals Still Strong
Palantir is building real momentum in AI and government contracts
Its Foundry and Gotham platforms are gaining enterprise traction
Positive free cash flow and improving margins offer a rare combo in tech AI plays
⚖️ What Price Am I Watching?
I like $19–20 as a re-entry zone. That’s where valuation begins to re-align with 2025 forward revenue multiples.
Below $18, I would aggressively accumulate.
Above $22, I trim and rotate profits.
🎯 My 12-month target: $28 if AI tailwinds hold and Palantir lands new U.S. federal contracts.
🔑 Pro Strategy:
Use a tiered accumulation strategy. Scale in with 30% of your intended position at $20, 40% at $18, and reserve 30% for a $16 floor test — if it comes.
🧭 Bottom Line
ARK'ss sell doesn't change Palantir's long-term AI thesis. Short-term volatility is noise — long-term, Palantir is building a data moat others can't easily replicate
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