Apple Stock Analysis: Technicals, Earnings & WWDC Catalyst

(Data as of June 9, 2025 | USD terms)

I. Technical Analysis

Current Price: $203.92 (-18.57% YTD)

52-Week Range : $169.21–$260.10

Key Levels:

Support: $189.91 (June 6 low)

Resistance: $204.01 (June 6 high)

Recent Trends:

April Collapse: Stock plunged -34% from March highs to $169.21 (April 8), driven by weak Q2 guidance and delayed AI product timelines.

Recovery Phase: Rally to $210s in May stalled at 50-day MA ($215 est.), with June volatility ahead of WWDC.

Volume Signal: Short-volume ratio spiked to 15.19% on June 4, suggesting bearish sentiment.

Technical Indicators:

RSI (14-day) : ~45 (neutral, no oversold signal).

Forward P/E : 28.46x (below 5-yr avg. of 28.61x).

Analyst Targets: Median PT $231.02 (+13% upside).

II. Earnings Health Check

Q2 2025 Highlights (Reported May 2):

EPS: $1.65 vs. $1.53 (Q2 2024) | Net Profit: $24.78B (+4.8% YoY).

Margin Pressures: Gross margin dipped to 47.05% (vs. 46.58% YoY), while liquidity ratios weakened (Current Ratio: 0.82 vs. 1.04 YoY).

ROE Strength: 148.43% (vs. 127.51% YoY) driven by aggressive buybacks.

Market Reaction:

Stock fell -3.74% post-earnings (May 2) on concerns over delayed AI monetization.

III. WWDC 2025: Bullish Catalyst or Trap?

Key Expectations:

iOS 26/macOS 26 updates, but no major AI reveals (per news: Siri overhaul delayed).

Historical Pattern:

2024 WWDC: Stock +8% pre-event, flat post-announcement.

2023 WWDC: Stock -5.6% post-Vision Pro launch.

Sentiment Check:

News headlines cite "low expectations" and "lackluster AI roadmap."

Recent +1.64% gain (June 9) hints at cautious optimism.

IV. Strategic Takeaway

Bull Case:

Valuation at 5-yr P/E lows.

$200 aligns with April-May consolidation zone (strong support).

Risks:

No near-term AI catalyst.

Liquidity squeeze (Quick Ratio: 0.68 vs. 0.87 YoY).

Action:

A $200 entry offers favorable risk/reward with stop-loss below $189.91. Monitor WWDC AI hints for breakout above $204 resistance.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not indicate future results. Conduct your own due diligence or consult a financial advisor before trading

@CaptainTiger @MillionaireTiger @CaptainTiger @Daily_Discussion