MY UPDATED TMDX VALUATION 👇🏻

8899Nar
06-10

$TransMedics Group, Inc.(TMDX)$

PRICE TARGET: $153 --> $182

POTENTIAL UPSIDE: +34% ✅

"Following the stronger than expected flights (probable double beat + raise in Q2) I increased my growth estimate and valuation multiple"

ASSUMPTIONS:

LTM Revenue: $0.488B

5Y Revenue CAGR: 23% --> 24%

2030 Profit Margin: 22%

2030 PE Ratio: 35 --> 40

Shares outstanding: 0.0399B

Shares dilution: 2%/year

VALUATION:

Q1 2030 $TMDX SHARE PRICE =

0.488 * (1.24)^5 * 0.22 * 40 /

[0.0399 * (1.02)^5] = 286$

You can now choose the discount rate that you prefer, for Transmedics I want to use a 12%

ACTUAL PRICE: $136

FAIR VALUE: $162

PRICE TARGET (1Y): $182

POTENTIAL UPSIDE: +34%

EXPECTED RETURNS: 16.0%/year

DIVIDEND YIELD: -

Do you own TMDX shares?

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