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06-11

πŸ’₯ Nvidia Eyes $4T: Will It Be the First to Breach the Barrier?

As $NVIDIA(NVDA)$   reclaims its $3.5T crown, the question now is not if it can hit $4T, but how soon. With both macro and micro tailwinds aligning, Nvidia is uniquely positioned to lead this next leg of the AI-led rally.

πŸ“Š Valuation Math

At a $3.5T market cap and ~$143/share, Nvidia would need a ~14.3% move to reach $4T. That's equivalent to a price target of ~$163. Given Nvidia's trailing P/E is still below some megacap tech peers (adjusted for growth), this isn't as stretched as it looks.

πŸš€ Catalysts in Play

AI Infrastructure Arms Race: Cloud providers continue to pour billions into Nvidia H100 and next-gen Blackwell chips. Each hyperscaler upgrade cycle is a revenue multiplier.

Regulatory Easing in China & UK: Jensen Huang's commitment to the UK and easing U.S.–China tensions reduces geopolitical overhang risk.

Data Center Monetisation: Nvidia's CUDA software ecosystem is increasingly monetised as a sticky platform, not just a chip supplier.

🧠 Risks & Watchpoints

High expectations = high volatility. Any Q2/Q3 miss could trigger a sharp correction.

U.S. election uncertainty may impact tech sentiment and trade relations with China.

πŸ“Œ My View

Neutral base case: $150–155 range near-term consolidation

Bull case (Q2 beat + China easing): $165–170

Breakout case: $180+ only if forward guidance is revised upward significantly

Whether Nvidia is the first to hit $4T will depend on timing β€” but structurally, it is the most AI-leveraged name in the market today.

Nvidia Sprints to $4 Trln: Hold Like Forever?
AMD has unveiled a series of powerful products aimed at competing with Nvidia. For instance, its MI325 advanced GPU accelerator is designed to compete with Nvidia's H200. This has sparked a heated debate among investors: should they invest in AMD, the high-potential contender, or stick with Nvidia, the industry leader?
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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