MY TOP 10 STOCKS FOR 2025 (UPDATE)🧵

8899Nar
06-12

These stocks are up +32.4% on average YTD vs +3.0% of S&P500 🤯

1) $Alibaba(BABA)$

The biggest ecommerce in the world with >$1T GMV and the biggest cloud services provider in China at 12x Fwd PE.

Natan's fair value: ~$162 (+34%)

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2) $TransMedics Group, Inc.(TMDX)$

Stock is up 2X YTD after the unjustified hard sell-off.

The company is innovating the transplants market and they plan to achieve 10k transplants in 2028.

Natan's fair value: ~$162 (+13%)

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3) $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$

Meta is my favorite big tech at current prices trading at 27X Fwd PE.

The social networks giant is spending billion of $ in Capex to build their AI data centers.

In my opinion Meta will emerge as an AI leader.

Natan's fair value: ~$752 (+7%)

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4) $Moderna, Inc.(MRNA)$

They developed a platform to manufacturing mRNA vaccines, the pipeline includes 45 drugs (9 phase 3 and 16 phase 2) in 4 therapeutic areas.

I think that market is too focused on the short term prospects of this company.

Natan's fair value: ~$60 (+114%)

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5) $PayPal(PYPL)$

The most known payment company in the world.

The sector is very competitive but PayPal is catching up with innovation under the new CEO.

At 15X Fwd PE is attractive.

Natan's fair value: ~$103 (+37%)

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6) $PDD Holdings Inc(PDD)$

One of the fastest growing ecommerces in the world trading at 6X EV/FCF.

Management proved many times its ability to deliver impressive growth and profitability in one of the most competitive market in the world.

Natan's fair value: ~$173 (+68%)

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7) $Vertex Pharmaceuticals(VRTX)$

This is my favorite biotech.

The $120B Boston giant dominates the monopoly in CF drugs and patent of Trikafta expires in 2037 only.

Perfect balance sheet and expected double digit EPS growth going forward.

Natan's fair value: ~$500 (+10%)

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8) $CRISPR Therapeutics AG(CRSP)$

They developed the first FDA approved CRISPR therapy (Casgevy) partnering with Vertex.

They have 1.7B of net cash and market cap is 3.8B only, a good development of Casgevy worths alone the current valuation imo.

Natan's fair value: ~$75 (+78%)

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9) $Tempus AI(TEM)$

A very interesting 2024 IPO stock for coming years.

They operate next generation genomic sequencing and many AI software tools for diagnostic, patient overview and clinical trials.

Stock is up 70% during last month only!

Natan's fair value: ~$55 (-20%)

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10) $B2Gold(BTG)$

One of the most successful gold miner priced at only 7x Fwd PE.

In my vision market is overestimating by far the risks of this stock and 2026 could finally be the turnaround year, in particular if gold price keeps running.

Natan's fair value: ~$6 (+68%)

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Comments

  • vuvence IX
    06-12
    vuvence IX
    I like your 1 pick Alibaba. Down a lot since 2023, which is prior to the latest global AI investment. Jack Ma's BABA is great value for a long position.
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