Oracle Breaks Out! Up 35% Since Earnings — Is the Cloud Boom Just Beginning?

MillionaireTiger
07-08

After a 22% jump following its earnings report and another 10.5% rally last week, $Oracle(ORCL)$ just hit a record high!

Some savvy traders in our community seized the opportunity:

🎉 Huge congrats to @IamZhong for locking in $1,250 in profits on $Oracle(ORCL)$.

🎉 Huge congrats to @Platce for securing 54% returns by buying $Oracle(ORCL)$ calls.

🎉 Huge congrats to @Huatkia88 for earning 97% returns by selling $Oracle(ORCL)$ puts.

When a company offers strong guidance and a high degree of earnings clarity, all three strategies—buying shares, call options, or selling puts—can be smart ways to ride the momentum.

What’s Driving Oracle’s Breakout?

Oracle offers a broad suite of cloud products, including SaaS applications, Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI), and advanced database services.

The Q4 FY2025 earnings were a turning point:

  • Both revenue and non-GAAP EPS beat expectations.

  • More importantly, Oracle signaled a major growth inflection for FY2026.

One standout metric? Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO) are expected to double year-over-year—a key forward indicator showing future contracted revenue yet to be recognized.

In the press release, management even stated:

“RPO growth in fiscal 2026 could exceed 100%.”

Compare that to 41% in FY2025 and 44.2% in FY2024—it’s a huge leap. That RPO surge supports Oracle’s forecast of $67B+ in revenue for FY2026, implying 16% YoY growth, up from 8.4% last year.

Cloud Is Now the Growth Engine

Cloud is officially Oracle’s largest business segment. OCI revenue jumped 52% YoY in Q4, lifting total cloud revenue by 27% YoY.

Management now expects:
☁️ OCI revenue to grow at least 70% in FY2026
☁️ Total cloud revenue to grow over 40%

And with Oracle signing major deals with AWS, all hyperscalers may increasingly rely on Oracle’s database technology.

Yes, margins are feeling pressure and free cash flow dipped slightly—but the trade-off for cloud and AI expansion could be worth it.

How Does Oracle Compare?

Currently trading at 34.25x forward P/E, Oracle may seem pricey—until you compare:

  • Microsoft (MSFT): 32.98x

  • Amazon (AMZN): 36.08x

  • Nasdaq 100 Index: 28.6x

Given its projected 16% annual growth, Oracle could grow into its valuation quite comfortably.

In terms of cloud:

  • Oracle’s cloud revenue is growing faster than AWS

  • OCI's 52% growth outpaces peers

  • Forecasted 70% OCI growth in FY2026 is aggressive but impressive

Plus, Oracle offers a 0.81% dividend yield, higher than Microsoft’s 0.65%, and boasts better cash efficiency than Amazon based on price-to-cash flow.

So… what’s your play from here?

🟢 Chase the breakout
🔵 Wait for a pullback
🟡 Sell puts and collect premium?

Drop your thoughts below ⬇️

🧭 Share positions:

Winning Trades
Share your positions with us! This is a column where you can find the winning trades of our fellow tigers. There probably are a few potential opportunities that you may have overlooked.
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

  • CynthiaVogt
    07-08
    CynthiaVogt
    My senses tell me ORCL will buy TikTok
    This could be a massive opportunity
    Current price ORCL $234.00
    • VivianLau
      ORCL is on my watchlist for next week.[Miser]
  • ADguynight
    07-08
    ADguynight
    Oracle signed one of the biggest cloud contracts ever. $30 billion per year, larger than its entire cloud biz today.
  • PaulSam
    07-08
    PaulSam
    Oracle rises after it announces monster $30 billion annual revenue contract starting in fiscal 2028
Leave a comment
4
4