KKLEE
07-09

Tesla just broke below the closely watched $300 level after a very public clash between Elon Musk and President Trump. Musk’s announcement of an “America Party” and renewed tweets aimed at the White House rattled investors, knocking Tesla nearly 8 percent lower in two sessions and erasing tens of billions in market value.

Is this weakness a warning to reduce exposure—or a rare chance to reload on the world’s most polarizing growth stock?

Why the Stock Cracked

Political Risk Surge

Musk’s deepening political ambitions raise the odds of government push‑back: potential cuts to EV tax credits, slower permitting for new plants, or stepped‑up regulatory scrutiny.

Distraction Narrative

Shareholders worry that running a campaign, building cars, launching rockets, and leading AI projects is one plate too many—even for Musk.

Weak Macro and Deliveries

Global EV demand has cooled, and Tesla’s last two quarters showed delivery declines. Political drama merely amplifies existing concerns about growth.

Why $300 Still Matters

Psychology: It was a floor during the spring rally; now it’s overhead resistance.

Options Flows: A wall of call options at $300 has flipped to potential supply.

Chart Watchers: Many technical traders will stay cautious until the stock can reclaim that level on strong volume.

Bullish Counter‑Arguments

Robotaxi Catalyst: A standalone autonomy event expected later this summer could reset the narrative if Tesla shows real progress toward commercial self‑driving.

Balance‑Sheet Strength: Tesla remains cash‑rich and largely debt‑free, giving it flexibility that rivals lack.

Energy and Services: Storage, solar, Supercharger licensing, and FSD subscriptions continue to grow—business lines far less sensitive to U.S. politics.

How to Approach the Dip

Short‑Term Traders: Expect headline whiplash. Volatility is elevated; consider smaller position sizes or defined‑risk option strategies.

Swing Investors: Scale in patiently between $270 and $290, but keep cash ready in case the feud drags sentiment even lower.

Long‑Term Holders: Revisit the thesis: autonomy, AI chips, and energy. If those pillars remain intact for you, this political sell‑off may be more opportunity than threat.

Bottom Line

A drop below $300 doesn’t doom Tesla, but it does remind investors that political risk can move markets as much as production numbers. If you believe Tesla’s long‑term story outweighs near‑term noise, the current weakness could be a gift. If you worry Musk’s political detour will siphon focus and alienate regulators, you might wait for clearer skies—or at least a solid close back over $300—before adding exposure.

As always, conviction without risk control is just hope. Size positions accordingly and be ready for more fireworks: both in Washington and in Tesla’s share price.

1 Trln Pay Package Approved! Tesla Sell the News: Hold for Long Term?
On November 6, more than 75% of shareholders voted in favor of Tesla CEO Elon Musk’s new compensation package. Under the plan, if Musk meets a series of milestones over the next ten years, he will gradually receive about 423.7 million restricted stock units (RSUs) — up to USD 1 trillion. Can Musk realistically hit these ambitious milestones in the next decade? Will this massive pay package truly align Tesla’s growth with shareholder interests After the approval, is Tesla a “sell the news” trade — or a long-term conviction hold?
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

  • RitaClara
    07-10
    RitaClara
    What a thought-provoking analysis! [Wow]
  • bumpy
    07-10
    bumpy
    Your insights on Tesla's political risk are spot on
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