Singapore GDP Grew 4.3% YoY in Q2; Upcoming US CPI Data to Shed Light on Tariff Impact【CSOP Fixed Income Weekly】

CSOP AML
07-14

【SRT】

Losses over the week were led by industrial, data centre and office by subsector and KDCREIT, MINT and MLT by individual REIT. KDCREIT was affected by UOB Kay Hian’s lowering of its target price. In other positive news, UBS saw Singapore rank as the world’s second-best performing real estate market in June amid rate cuts, while DBS notes divergent trends with US yields rising, in contrast with Singapore’s rate dip, favouring floating-rate and Singapore-centric REITs.

$CSOP S-REITs INDEX ETF(SRT.SI)$ 2025 WTD Total Return: -1.22%

【MMF】

Over the week US Treasuries demonstrated little directional conviction against a backdrop of tariff headlines and potential replacement of Fed Chair Powell. June’s FOMC meeting minutes also highlighted uncertainty regarding the inflationary impact of Trump’s tariffs.

We expect CSOPUMM to continue to deliver stable yield in the near term. As of 2025/07/11, the fund has a net yield at 4.11%. ^

CSOP USD Money Market Fund (SGXZ96797238.MF) Net 8-day Yield: +4.11%

^ 8-day net yield is calculated based on calendar days and NAVs in 5-decimal.

【CN】

HSBC shared that China’s interbank liquidity stays ample (7-day repo: month-to-date’s 1.48% vs June’s 1.58%). There could be a modest rise in funding rates from mid-July’s seasonal tax payments but central bank liquidity support ought to keep funding conditions comfortable.

H1 2025 issuance progress (central: 50%; local: 61%) leaves scope to accelerate issuance before issuance quota hikes.

Looking at YTD performance as of 2025/07/11, CYC/CYB’s NAV gained +0.63% in CNY and gained +2.42% in USD*.

* CYC/CYB/CYX USD NAV is converted based on benchmark FX, subject to rounding error

Global Market Outlook

【SG】Singapore Q2 GDP Growth Accelerates to 4.3% YoY; H2 Risks Flagged Over US Tariff Uncertainty

On July 14th, Singapore reported that its economy grew 4.3% YoY in Q2 2025, faster than 4.1% YoY that of Q1 2025. However, Ministry of Trade and Industry did highlight risks in H2 2025 due to global uncertainty especially the lack of clarity on US tariff policies.

【US】Upcoming CPI Data Key to Gauge Trump Tariff Inflation Impact

Upcoming CPI release is crucial in offering insight into the inflationary impact of Trump’s tariffs. However, even if there was a downside surprise, HSBC does not anticipate markets to meaningfully reprice easing expectations for the upcoming July meeting. $S&P 500(.SPX)$

Source: CSOP, Bloomberg, JPM, HSBC, as of 2025/07/11, except where otherwise stated.

 

Disclaimer

The investment product(s), as mentioned in this document, is/are registered under section 286 of the Securities and Futures Act (Cap. 289) of Singapore (the “SFA”). This material and the information contained in this material shall not be regarded as an offer or solicitation of business in any jurisdiction to any person to whom it is unlawful to offer or solicit business in such jurisdictions. This document is not to be construed as recommendations to buy/sell any above-mentioned securities, or any securities in the above-mentioned sectors or jurisdictions.

CSOP Asset Management Pte. Ltd. (“CSOP”) which prepared this document believes that information in this document is based upon sources that are believed to be accurate, complete, and reliable. However, CSOP does not warrant the accuracy and completeness of the information and shall not be liable to the recipient or controlling shareholders of the recipient resulting from its use. CSOP is under no obligation to keep the information up to date. The provision of this document shall not be deemed as constituting any offer, acceptance, or promise of any further contract or amendment to any contract. The information herein shall not be disclosed, used, or disseminated, in whole or part, and shall not be reproduced, copied, or made available to others without the written consent of CSOP.

Advice should be sought from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment and/or investment product before making an investment. Investment involves risk. The value of investments, and the income from them, can go down as well as up and an investor may get back less than the amount invested. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future performance. Investor should read the prospectus and product highlights sheet, which can be obtained on CSOP website or authorized participating dealers, before deciding whether to invest. This document has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.

 

Index Provider Disclaimer

SRT

The CSOP iEdge S-REIT Leaders Index ETF is not in any way sponsored, endorsed, sold or promoted by Singapore Exchange Limited and/or its affiliates (collectively, “SGX”) and SGX makes no warranty or representation whatsoever, expressly or impliedly, either as to the results to be obtained from the use of the iEdge S-REIT Leaders Index and/or the figure at which the iEdge S-REIT Leaders Index stand at any particular time on any particular day or otherwise. The iEdge S-REIT Leaders Index are administered, calculated, and published by SGX. SGX shall not be liable (whether in negligence or otherwise) to any person for any error in the CSOP iEdge S-REIT Leaders Index ETF and the iEdge S-REIT Leaders Index and shall not be under any obligation to advise any person of any error therein. “SGX” is a trademark of SGX and is used by CSOP under license. All intellectual property rights in the iEdge S-REIT Leaders Index vest in SGX.

 

CYC/CYB/CYX

The ICBC CSOP FTSE Chinese Government Bond Index ETF (the “ETF”) has been developed solely by CSOP Asset Management Pte. Ltd. The ETF is not in any way connected to or sponsored, endorsed, sold, or promoted by the London Stock Exchange Group plc and its group undertakings (collectively, the “LSE Group”). FTSE Russell is a trading name of certain of the LSE Group companies. All rights in the FTSE Chinese Government Bond Index (the “Index”) vest in the relevant LSE Group company which owns the Index. FTSE® is a trademark of the relevant LSE Group company which own the Index and is used by any other LSE Group company under license. The Index is calculated by or on behalf of FTSE International Limited or its affiliate, agent, or partner. The LSE Group does not accept any liability whatsoever to any person arising out of (a) the use of reliance on or any error in the Index or (b) investment in or operation of the ETF. The LSE Group does not accept any liability whatsoever to any person arising out of the use of the ETF or the underlying data. The LSE Group makes no claim, prediction, warranty, or representation either as to the results to be obtained from the ETF or the suitability of the Index for the purpose to which it is being put by CSOP Asset Management Pte. Ltd.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

We need your insight to fill this gap
Leave a comment