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07-19

$Netflix(NFLX)$  Netflix Raises Full-Year Guidance ๐Ÿ“ˆ โ€” Is There Still Upside After 40% YTD?


Netflix just raised its full-year revenue outlook ๐Ÿ“ฃ โ€” but instead of celebrating, the stock dropped 1.8% after earnings ๐Ÿ˜ฌ. With $NFLX up over 40% year-to-date, the big question is: is this dip just a pause... or a sign that momentum is fading? ๐Ÿ“‰


๐Ÿ’ก Key Numbers & What Changed:

Netflix beat both EPS and revenue estimates this quarter ๐Ÿ“Š, while operating margins ticked higher โ€” now projected at 27.7% for FY (vs 24% prior). Subscriber growth held strong, especially in international markets, and the ad-supported tier showed meaningful acceleration ๐Ÿ“บ๐Ÿ’ฐ. Ads now account for 40% of new signups in some regions, a major pivot from just 18 months ago.


๐Ÿ“‰ Market Reaction:

Despite the strong fundamentals, the market didnโ€™t reward the print. Why? The bar was set sky-high ๐Ÿš€, and some traders may have expected even more subscriber upside or bigger ad revenue beats. Thereโ€™s also growing concern around valuation risk, with $NFLX trading at over 40x forward earnings, well above sector averages โš–๏ธ. And letโ€™s not forget the competitive heat from $DIS, YouTube, Prime, and TikTok ๐Ÿ”ฅ.


๐Ÿ“ˆ Bull Case:

Netflix is flexing pricing power globally ๐Ÿ’ต, growing both ARPU and engagement. The companyโ€™s expanding content library is getting more cost-efficient, and new monetisation paths โ€” like advertising and mobile gaming โ€” are opening up long-term upside ๐Ÿง . With full-year guidance raised, bulls argue thereโ€™s still fuel in the tank for another leg up.


๐Ÿ”ป Bear Case:

The rally has been huge. Valuations are stretched ๐Ÿ‘€, and much of the growth narrative โ€” like the password-sharing crackdown and ad-tier rollout โ€” may already be priced in. And while Netflix is ahead on profitability vs peers, slowing sub growth in core markets could become a drag.


โš–๏ธ Investor Dilemma:

So, whatโ€™s next? $NFLX is one of the few streamers delivering real profits at scale โ€” but is it time to lock in gains and rotate to laggards like $DIS or even legacy media? Or is Netflixโ€™s global strategy just getting started?


๐Ÿ’ฌ Join the Conversation:

๐ŸŽฅ Will Netflix break out to new highs this quarter โ€” or stall around resistance?

๐Ÿ“Š Are you adding, trimming, or sitting this one out?

๐Ÿ“บ Which streaming or media stock offers better value right now โ€” or is the whole sector due for a re-rating?


Drop your views, tickers, or price targets below ๐Ÿ‘‡ and letโ€™s see whoโ€™s staying in the Netflix queue โ€” and whoโ€™s cashing out.


@TigerStars  @Tiger_comments  @Daily_Discussion  @TigerEvents  @TigerWire  

Netflix 10-1 Split! Ready to Ride Q4 Streaming Wave?
Netflix announces a 10-for-1 stock split, set to take effect November 17, 2025. Shareholders of record on November 10 will receive nine additional shares per share held. The move aims to make shares more accessible for employees in its stock option program. Stranger Things 5 will release in Q4. During Christmas, there will be even more series. Would you buy the dip and bet on Q4 beats? Can stock reclaim the loss after split?
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