$Netflix(NFLX)$ Netflix Raises Full-Year Guidance ๐ โ Is There Still Upside After 40% YTD?
Netflix just raised its full-year revenue outlook ๐ฃ โ but instead of celebrating, the stock dropped 1.8% after earnings ๐ฌ. With $NFLX up over 40% year-to-date, the big question is: is this dip just a pause... or a sign that momentum is fading? ๐
๐ก Key Numbers & What Changed:
Netflix beat both EPS and revenue estimates this quarter ๐, while operating margins ticked higher โ now projected at 27.7% for FY (vs 24% prior). Subscriber growth held strong, especially in international markets, and the ad-supported tier showed meaningful acceleration ๐บ๐ฐ. Ads now account for 40% of new signups in some regions, a major pivot from just 18 months ago.
๐ Market Reaction:
Despite the strong fundamentals, the market didnโt reward the print. Why? The bar was set sky-high ๐, and some traders may have expected even more subscriber upside or bigger ad revenue beats. Thereโs also growing concern around valuation risk, with $NFLX trading at over 40x forward earnings, well above sector averages โ๏ธ. And letโs not forget the competitive heat from $DIS, YouTube, Prime, and TikTok ๐ฅ.
๐ Bull Case:
Netflix is flexing pricing power globally ๐ต, growing both ARPU and engagement. The companyโs expanding content library is getting more cost-efficient, and new monetisation paths โ like advertising and mobile gaming โ are opening up long-term upside ๐ง . With full-year guidance raised, bulls argue thereโs still fuel in the tank for another leg up.
๐ป Bear Case:
The rally has been huge. Valuations are stretched ๐, and much of the growth narrative โ like the password-sharing crackdown and ad-tier rollout โ may already be priced in. And while Netflix is ahead on profitability vs peers, slowing sub growth in core markets could become a drag.
โ๏ธ Investor Dilemma:
So, whatโs next? $NFLX is one of the few streamers delivering real profits at scale โ but is it time to lock in gains and rotate to laggards like $DIS or even legacy media? Or is Netflixโs global strategy just getting started?
๐ฌ Join the Conversation:
๐ฅ Will Netflix break out to new highs this quarter โ or stall around resistance?
๐ Are you adding, trimming, or sitting this one out?
๐บ Which streaming or media stock offers better value right now โ or is the whole sector due for a re-rating?
Drop your views, tickers, or price targets below ๐ and letโs see whoโs staying in the Netflix queue โ and whoโs cashing out.
@TigerStars @Tiger_comments @Daily_Discussion @TigerEvents @TigerWire
Comments