IS GOOGL A BUY AFTER Q2 EARNINGS?

$Alphabet(GOOG)$ Let's look at my simple valuation model:

PRICE TARGET: $245

POTENTIAL UPSIDE: +25% ✅

ASSUMPTIONS:

LTM Revenue: $371.399B

5Y Revenue CAGR: 10%

2030 Profit Margin: 30%

2030 PE Ratio: 22

Shares outstanding: 12.198B

Shares reduction: 2%/year

VALUATION:

Q2 2030 $GOOGL Share Price =

371.399 * (1.10)^5 * 0.30 * 22 /

[12.198 * (0.98)^5] = 358$

You can now choose the discount rate that you prefer, for Google I want to use 10%.

ACTUAL PRICE: $196

FAIR VALUE: $222

1Y PRICE TARGET: $245

POTENTIAL UPSIDE: +25%

EXPECTED RETURNS: 12.8%/year

DIVIDEND YIELD: 0.4%

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Please share you Insights or comments on companies or technologies of AI industry.","image":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4603961061b4e1f67cb838e908cb17bf"}],"images":[],"coverImages":[],"title":"IS GOOGL A BUY AFTER Q2 EARNINGS?","html":"<html><head></head><body><p> <a data-mention-id=\"GOOG\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"Alphabet\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GOOG\">$Alphabet(GOOG)$</a> Let's look at my simple valuation model:</p><p>PRICE TARGET: $245</p><p>POTENTIAL UPSIDE: +25% ✅</p><p><strong>ASSUMPTIONS:</strong></p><p>LTM Revenue: $371.399B</p><p>5Y Revenue CAGR: 10%</p><p>2030 Profit Margin: 30%</p><p>2030 PE Ratio: 22</p><p>Shares outstanding: 12.198B</p><p>Shares reduction: 2%/year </p><p><strong>VALUATION:</strong></p><p>Q2 2030 $GOOGL Share Price =</p><p>371.399 * (1.10)^5 * 0.30 * 22 /</p><p>[12.198 * (0.98)^5] = 358$</p><p>You can now choose the discount rate that you prefer, for Google I want to use 10%. </p><p>ACTUAL PRICE: $196</p><p>FAIR VALUE: $222</p><p>1Y PRICE TARGET: $245</p><p>POTENTIAL UPSIDE: +25%</p><p>EXPECTED RETURNS: 12.8%/year</p><p>DIVIDEND YIELD: 0.4%</p><p></p><p>For whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:</p><p>🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!</p><blockquote><p>Find out more here：</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p><strong><a href=\"https://ttm.financialhttps://tigr.link/9ApRRc\" title=\"Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of Commission-Free trading.\" target=\"_blank\">Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of Commission-Free trading.</a></strong></p></li><li><p><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/TW/367769452580952\" title=\"💰Join the TB Contra Telegram Group to Get $10 Trading Vouchers Now🎉\" class=\"\">💰Join the TB Contra Telegram Group to Get $10 Trading Vouchers Now🎉</a></p></li><li><p><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/TW/413454436958416\" title=\"💰CBA Mini Course 1: What is Cash Boost Account(CBA)?\" class=\"\">💰CBA Mini Course 1: What is Cash Boost Account(CBA)?</a></p></li></ul></blockquote></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p> <a data-mention-id=\"GOOG\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"Alphabet\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/GOOG\">$Alphabet(GOOG)$</a> Let's look at my simple valuation model:</p><p>PRICE TARGET: $245</p><p>POTENTIAL UPSIDE: +25% ✅</p><p><strong>ASSUMPTIONS:</strong></p><p>LTM Revenue: $371.399B</p><p>5Y Revenue CAGR: 10%</p><p>2030 Profit Margin: 30%</p><p>2030 PE Ratio: 22</p><p>Shares outstanding: 12.198B</p><p>Shares reduction: 2%/year </p><p><strong>VALUATION:</strong></p><p>Q2 2030 $GOOGL Share Price =</p><p>371.399 * (1.10)^5 * 0.30 * 22 /</p><p>[12.198 * (0.98)^5] = 358$</p><p>You can now choose the discount rate that you prefer, for Google I want to use 10%. </p><p>ACTUAL PRICE: $196</p><p>FAIR VALUE: $222</p><p>1Y PRICE TARGET: $245</p><p>POTENTIAL UPSIDE: +25%</p><p>EXPECTED RETURNS: 12.8%/year</p><p>DIVIDEND YIELD: 0.4%</p><p></p><p>For whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:</p><p>🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!</p><blockquote><p>Find out more here：</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p><strong><a href=\"https://ttm.financialhttps://tigr.link/9ApRRc\" title=\"Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of Commission-Free trading.\" target=\"_blank\">Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of Commission-Free trading.</a></strong></p></li><li><p><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/TW/367769452580952\" title=\"💰Join the TB Contra Telegram Group to Get $10 Trading Vouchers Now🎉\" class=\"\">💰Join the TB Contra Telegram Group to Get $10 Trading Vouchers Now🎉</a></p></li><li><p><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/TW/413454436958416\" title=\"💰CBA Mini Course 1: What is Cash Boost Account(CBA)?\" class=\"\">💰CBA Mini Course 1: What is Cash Boost Account(CBA)?</a></p></li></ul></blockquote></body></html>","text":"$Alphabet(GOOG)$ Let's look at my simple valuation model: PRICE TARGET: $245 POTENTIAL UPSIDE: +25% ✅ ASSUMPTIONS: LTM Revenue: $371.399B 5Y Revenue CAGR: 10% 2030 Profit Margin: 30% 2030 PE Ratio: 22 Shares outstanding: 12.198B Shares reduction: 2%/year VALUATION: Q2 2030 $GOOGL Share Price = 371.399 * (1.10)^5 * 0.30 * 22 / [12.198 * (0.98)^5] = 358$ You can now choose the discount rate that you prefer, for Google I want to use 10%. ACTUAL PRICE: $196 FAIR VALUE: $222 1Y PRICE TARGET: $245 POTENTIAL UPSIDE: +25% EXPECTED RETURNS: 12.8%/year DIVIDEND YIELD: 0.4% For whom haven't open CBA can know more from below: 🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly! Find out more here： Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of Commission-Free trading. 💰Join the TB Contra Telegram Group to Get $10 Trading Vouchers Now🎉 💰CBA Mini Course 1: What is Cash Boost Account(CBA)?","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/460130799861768","repostId":0,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":761,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":["GOOG"],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":827,"optionInvolvedFlag":false,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/460130799861768"}