Day Trading Analysis & Strategy for 25 July 2025
Conclusion: NVIDIA (NVDA) and Amazon (AMZN) present the strongest setups for long positions, while Tesla (TSLA) offers a high-risk/high-reward contrarian play. Below is the technical and fundamental breakdown with actionable levels.
1. NVIDIA (NVDA)
Key Technicals:
Price Action (24 July) : Closed at $173.74 (+1.73%), near intraday high ($173.83).
Support/Resistance : Immediate support at $171.30 (24 July low), resistance at $174.25 (52-week high).
Volume Analysis: 128.98M shares traded (above 20-day avg), with bullish accumulation in afternoon session.
Intraday Trend: Strong upward momentum post-2 PM, closing near highs.
Fundamentals & News :
Analysts project 15% upside to target price ($183.72) 2.
SK Hynix (NVIDIA supplier) reported strong earnings, signaling robust AI chip demand 20.
Trade Setup:
Entry: $173.50 (pre-market consolidation zone).
Take Profit (TP) : $177.00 (breakout above 52-week high).
Stop Loss (SL) : $170.80 (below 24 July low).
Risk/Reward : 1:2.5 (1.5% risk vs. 3.8% reward).
2. Tesla (TSLA)
Key Technicals:
Price Action (24 July) : Plunged 8.20% to $305.30, breaking below 50-day MA.
Support/Resistance : Critical support at $300.00 (psychological level), resistance at $310.15 (24 July high).
Volume Analysis: 156.97M shares (bearish distribution), highest volume since June.
Intraday Trend: Sell-off accelerated post-earnings, but oversold RSI (14-day: 28).
Fundamentals & News :
Q2 earnings missed estimates; revenue fell 11% YoY 313.
Analysts remain divided: Wedbush sees "transition phase," others warn of valuation risks (forward P/E 183x) 3.
Trade Setup:
Entry: $304.00 (gap-fill attempt).
TP: $312.00 (retest of breakdown level).
SL: $298.50 (below 24 July low).
Risk/Reward : 1:2.6 (1.8% risk vs. 4.7% reward).
3. Amazon (AMZN)
Key Technicals:
Price Action (24 July) : Closed at $232.23 (+1.73%), breaking above $232 resistance.
Support/Resistance : Support at $228.64 (24 July low), resistance at $236.00 (key Fibonacci level).
Volume Analysis: 42.90M shares (moderate accumulation).
Intraday Trend: Steady uptrend with bullish reversal at 3 PM.
Fundamentals & News :
Prime Day sales surged 12% YoY; AWS growth accelerated to 15% 10.
Analysts raise price targets citing AI monetization in cloud 7.
Trade Setup:
Entry: $232.50 (confirmation of breakout).
TP: $236.00 (next resistance).
SL: $229.00 (below 24 July low).
Risk/Reward : 1:3 (1.5% risk vs. 4.5% reward).
Key Risks:
NVDA: Overbought conditions; monitor semiconductor sector sentiment.
TSLA: High short interest (9%) could amplify volatility.
AMZN: Market-wide rotation out of tech (low probability given Fed dovish stance).
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