2025 Q2 Earnings Expectations
$Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ Gradually improving AI tools are significantly enhancing ad spend ROI.
With tariff policy easing, e-commerce ad spending resumed growth in May and June.
Meta’s Q2 revenue is projected to reach $45.5 billion, a 16.5% YoY increase, exceeding expectations.
Operating profit is expected to hit $17.4 billion, also surpassing forecasts.
The market is concerned about a potential sharp increase in 2026 capital expenditures.
How to Evaluate META’s Earnings Outlook
AI tool investments are paying off, and the core advertising business remains robust.
The company made a massive investment in data centers during Q2, spending hundreds of billions, indicating strong confidence in mid-term revenue growth.
While increased capital expenditure is a positive for long-term growth, the market may become cautious about profit expectations.
Expected post-earnings volatility: ±6.5%, with a trading range of $673–$765.
Trading Strategy
Strong business performance, but mixed market sentiment regarding spending.
With no major bearish catalysts, the stock is unlikely to break below the expected range. Selling put options is a viable strategy.
Sell put options before the earnings announcement and close the position at the market’s opening on the release day.
For those holding Meta stock, sell out-of-the-money call options to generate additional income.
Strike Price and Expiration Suggestions
Covered Call Writing Strategy:
$META 20250801 770.0 CALL$ (84% win rate).
Put Selling Strategy:
$META 20250801 670.0 PUT$ (80% win rate).
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