In 2020, $S&P 500(.SPX)$ ran for 5 consecutive weeks from July into August before we saw a 10% pullback.
Currently in 2025, We're finishing up 5 consecutive green weeks leading into August.
Will History repeat itself?
If so SPX may retest a key support level at 6000 during August.
Don't get me wrong....My favorite trades are to the upside. The market is designed to go UP.. BUT....
As August approaches I will start to get more defensive especially if we see more weakness in $Bitcoin(BTC.USD.CC)$ /Crypto. This is the leading indicator for risk assets.
Stocks that led the move higher have started to consolidate so far, Next we have Mega-cap tech earning next week, tariff deadlines, FOMC, and Core PCE next week.
If there's a negative reaction to all of these, its a perfect storm for a short term pull back in August. Be objective and watch the price action over the next 2 weeks. When the pull back happens, it's usually when many traders blow up. Don't be a part of that statistic.
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