โ๏ธ SIA Crashes 59% ๐โ But Revenue Rises?
SG Earnings Season Begins with a Shock. Whoโs Next?
Singapore Airlines ($C6L.SI) just dropped a stunner.
Q1 net profit plunged 59% to S$186M, even as revenue climbed. ๐คฏ
With Keppel, Seatrium, First REIT, and OCBC reporting soon, many are asking:
๐ Is this the start of a broader slowdown โ or just a post-pandemic reset?
Letโs unpack what this means for SGX investors heading into a loaded earnings week.
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๐ผ SIA Earnings Breakdown: Profits Dive, But Planes Stay Full
Despite full flights and rising passenger demand, $C6L.SI posted a 59% drop in net profit, down to S$186M in Q1 FY25.
Yet, revenue rose 5.9% to S$4.79B. So what went wrong?
๐ Losses from Air India-Vistara JV dented earnings
๐ธ Lower interest income vs last yearโs strong cash balances
๐ฆ Weakness in cargo demand added pressure
Passenger load factors remained high, but yields are flattening.
๐ The surprise: strong top-line, weak bottom-line โ a reversal from pandemic trends.
Now investors are asking: What does this signal for SGX-listed blue chips?
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๐ Whatโs Coming Up This Week
This week, weโll get earnings from major SGX names โ all with different exposure to macro cycles.
Hereโs what to watch:
$KPLM.SI (Keppel Ltd): Infra + energy exposure; stable earnings base.
โณ Keppel DC just beat estimates โ will the parent follow suit?
$5E2.SI (Seatrium): Up +17.8% YTD, fueled by offshore & marine optimism.
โณ Will it maintain its momentum or face margin pressure from costs?
$AW9U.SI (First REIT): Indonesia-heavy portfolio + exposure to healthcare.
โณ Could surprise on FX gains โ but yields are under pressure.
$O39.SI (OCBC): Reliable dividend and strong capital base.
โณ With UOB already flagging flat NIMs, can OCBC outperform on fee income?
๐ With $C6L.SI's result setting a cautious tone, earnings reactions this week could reset SG market sentiment.
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๐ Big Picture: Is SG Market Peaking or Rotating?
Zooming out, some broader themes are at play:
๐ธ Interest rates remain sticky โ pressuring REIT yields and loan growth
๐ฆ Banks may face NIM compression as central banks near peak tightening
๐ ๏ธ Infra & O&M names like Keppel, Seatrium may benefit from regional capex
Meanwhile, Chinaโs demand recovery remains patchy, affecting regional trade and logistics plays.
So while $C6L.SI may reflect airline-specific headwinds, it also hints at a possible earnings deceleration trend โ especially in high-beta sectors.
Is this a rotation into defensives, or a warning sign for Q3?
๐ง Retail Watchlist: Whoโs Still Worth Holding?
For Singapore retail investors, the next two weeks could clarify which stocks still have legs.
Some key names to relook:
Seatrium ($Seatrium Ltd(5E2.SI)$ ) โ Strong price action, but can it deliver the EPS to match?
OCBC ($ocbc bank(O39.SI)$ ) โ Steady dividend, fortress balance sheet, defensive in volatile rates
Keppel Ltd ($Keppel DC Reit A(X1JU.SI)$ ) โ Riding the long-term infra and energy transition wave
Still holding? Rotate out? Buy on dip?
๐ This could be a moment to rebalance portfolios โ especially for those overweight on rate-sensitive names like REITs or transport.
๐ฌ Where Are You Positioning This Earnings Season?
๐ Is $C6L.SIโs plunge just turbulence โ or the start of earnings compression for SGX?
๐ Will Seatrium hold its 17% YTD gain, or cool off post-results?
๐ค Can OCBC surprise to the upside โ and anchor your portfolio this August?
๐ฌ Drop your SGX watchlist picks below โ or tell us what youโre avoiding!
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> Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. For informational and educational purposes only.
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