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07-29

1. NVIDIA (NVDA)


Technical Setup

Price Action: Closed at $176.75 (+1.87%) on July 28, testing resistance at $176.84.

Options Activity: Heavy call volume at $175 strike (160,182 contracts), signaling bullish sentiment.

Volume Analysis: 140M shares traded (0.57% turnover), with 5-day capital outflow reversing to inflows on July 23.


Key Levels:

Entry: Break above $177.00 (pre-market momentum).

TP1: $180.00 (psychological resistance).

SL: $173.50 (below 50EMA).


Fundamental Catalyst

Q2 2025 revenue surged 94% YoY to $35.1B, driven by AI/data center demand.

Analysts raise mean target to $184.38 (FactSet).

Risk: Overbought RSI (14-day: 68), IV at 98.99% for short-dated calls.




2. Tesla (TSLA)


Technical Setup

Price Action: Volatile swing from $305.30 (-8.2%) on July 24 to $325.59 (+3.02%) on July 28.

Options Activity: High open interest in $330 calls (15,167 contracts).

Volume Analysis: 112.67M shares traded (3.49% turnover), with 5-day capital inflow of $238M.


Key Levels:

Entry: $325.50 (pre-market gap fill).

TP1: $335.00 (July 21 high).

SL: $318.00 (below VWAP).


Fundamental Catalyst

Robotaxi rollout in Austin; FSD adoption up 25% post-update.

Q2 revenue beat at $22.5B vs. $22.28B estimate.

Risk: Regulatory credit revenue dropped 12% 1; $300M tariff impact.



3. Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)


Technical Setup

Price Action: Surged 4.32% to $173.66 on July 28, breaking descending channel.

Volume Analysis: 68.27M shares (4.21% turnover), with 1-day big inflow of $662M.


Key Levels:

Entry: $173.00 (pre-market consolidation).

TP1: $180.00 (Fibonacci 61.8% extension).

SL: $168.67 (July 28 low).


Fundamental Catalyst

Q2 2025 EPS rose to $1.37 (+22% YoY), though net margins lag NVDA at 5.21%.

Analyst target: $150.33 (upside potential muted; monitor AI chip competition).

Risk: Forward PE at 43.80 vs. sector avg 28.79.



Market Context

S&P 500 : Closed at record highs, driven by tech/AI optimism.


Key News:

U.S.-Japan trade deal boosts semiconductor supply chains.

Energy costs rising due to AI data center demand.

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Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

  • fluffzo
    07-30
    fluffzo
    Amazing insights and analysis here! [Wow]
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