Circle Q2: Revenue Rockets š, EPS Misses the Mark š¤āWhatās the Trade?
Circle (CRCL) just dropped Q2 earnings and the market gave it a thumbs-upāshares popped 5% in premarket. But the numbers need decoding:
⢠𧮠EPS: $4.48 vs. $0.34 consensusābut donāt cheer too fast. That beat was inflated by IPO-related accounting quirks (non-cash charges of $591M).
⢠š° Revenue: $658M (+53% YoY) beat by $13M. Thatās the real winādriven by USDC growth, infra deals, and expanding institutional adoption.
⢠š Price Action: CRCL is up 91% since IPO. Volatilityās spicyāweekly swings average 24.8%.
⢠š Valuation: Trading near $159. Fair value estimates range $122ā175. DCF models suggest itās 20ā30% overvalued short term.
⢠āļø Catalysts: GENIUS Act, bank charter push, and stablecoin tailwinds could fuel long-term upside.
š§ Trade Setup
If CRCL holds above $150 with volume, bulls may stay in control. But if it dips toward $130ā140, thatās where Iād look to accumulate. Growth is realābut price needs to digest the hype.
š„ Bottom Line
Revenue beat > EPS miss. The marketās betting on Circleās infrastructure moat and stablecoin dominance. Just donāt chaseālet the chart speak first.[Call]
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