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08-19

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@Barcode$United States Brent Oil Fund LP(BNO)$ $Texas Oil Index ETF(OILT)$ $Brent Last Day Financial - main 2510(BZmain)$ 🇺🇦🇷🇺PEACE IN UKRAINE COULD SLASH OIL PRICES GLOBALLY The war in Ukraine rewired oil markets, locking them in crisis mode for 3 straight years. Brent crude sits near $65 per barrel. West Texas Intermediate hovers around $63. The prices - though lower than the 2022 peaks - are still elevated, driven by disrupted supply chains, Western sanctions, and OPEC+ production cuts that refuse to budge. Since the G7 imposed a price cap on Russian seaborne oil in 2022, much of Russia’s output has remained discounted, yet the overall supply crunch pushed global prices up. Countries like India have scooped up Russian crude, now accounting for over a third of their imports, but even that hasn’t undone the inflationary wave. Now imagine this: Kyiv and Moscow sign a peace deal. Suddenly, millions of barrels of Russian oil - currently moving through shadow fleets and workaround channels - re-enter global markets legitimately. That could push prices down $10–15 per barrel, according to analysts at Standard Chartered and JPMorgan. Some doomsayers warn of a $30 collapse, but OPEC’s ability to tighten supply makes that unlikely. Even a modest dip would ripple across economies. The U.S could see gas prices fall below $3 per gallon, aligning with Trump's push for affordable energy. Europe would gain relief from energy imports, and developing nations drowning in fuel costs could breathe easier. A weaker ruble and declining hard currency flows would also pressure the Kremlin - economically punishing Russia without a single new sanction. Still, peace comes with risks. Lifting sanctions unevenly could trigger price spikes. Russia might over-export, prompting OPEC retaliation. And if the deal doesn’t include limits on Russia’s energy leverage - especially in Europe - the economic benefits could be delayed. Energy costs drive inflation, shape foreign policy, and tilt elections. A Ukraine-Russia peace agreement wouldn’t just end a war - it would rewire the global energy economy. Sources: IEA, Standard Chartered, JPMorgan, Daily Mail 📢 Don’t miss out! Like, Repost and Follow me for exclusive setups, cutting-edge trends, and insights that move markets 🚀📈 I’m obsessed with hunting down the next big movers and sharing strategies that crush it. Let’s outsmart the market and stack those gains together! 🍀 Trade like a boss! Happy trading ahead, Cheers, BC 📈🚀🍀🍀🍀
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