[Stock Prediction] Can PDD Bounce Back After a Rocky Q2?

Tiger_Earnings
08-22

$PDD Holdings Inc(PDD)$ is set to release its Q2 2025 earnings before the U.S. market opens on August 25. According to Bloomberg consensus, revenue is expected to hit RMB 103.9B , with adjusted net income at RMB 22.4B and EPS at RMB 15.5.

After a 20% drop from its 2024 highs, can this report bring PDD back to life—or will Temu’s global growing pains continue to weigh?

📌 Key Things to Watch

Domestic resilience: In a weak macro environment, PDD’s domestic ad business remains a steady anchor. Merchants are doubling down on ad spend to drive visibility during sales promotions. Analysts believe stable monetization rates and high-margin ads may help offset overseas fulfillment costs and discounts.

Temu’s recovery story: Temu faced disruption in Q2 due to a pause in its U.S. “fully-managed” model (May–June), with gradual recovery starting in July. The market will closely watch whether:

U.S. orders and GMV rebounded in July:Cost-per-order trends show improvement as Temu shifts to “semi-managed” and local warehousing

Profit pressure vs. long-term vision:PDD has stepped up subsidies for both users and merchants, keeping sales expenses elevated. With Q1’s “long-term ecosystem” message still fresh, investors are less focused on Q2 profit levels—and more on ROI efficiency and early signs of margin rebound.

Policy risks:Rising scrutiny around cross-border parcels (taxes, compliance) in the U.S. and EU remains a wildcard. If PDD confirms cost relief from logistics or higher local warehouse usage, this could ease investor concerns.

🧠 What Do Analysts Say?

  • Goldman Sachs: Q2 earnings may be under pressure, but sees recovery in H2 if logistics costs ease and Temu growth resumes.

  • Bernstein: Watch for signals from July—if U.S. orders bounced back, stock may be primed for a reversal.

PDD's Q2 2025 earnings call will be held on 25 August 2025 at approximately at 19:30 SGT. To set a reminder, please click here

Event Details

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⏰Event Duration

  • The deadline for this event is 16:00 on 25 August 2025.

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How will PDD close 25/08 following their earnings?(Maximum1 votes)
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