Macro Picture of US Stock

EliteOptionsTrader

The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ is up 33% and the $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ is up 41% since April 7th.

Medium to long term we will see the market move much higher from these current levels BUT in the short term... the risk/reward to the upside is shrinking.

I would be more cautious this week after NFP data on Friday. We also have Core CPI data on Sept 11th. If the numbers come in over expectations there's still a possibility of no rate cut this month.

If you have a small account/newer trader, the best risk/reward for a swing trade would be to WAIT for $SPX to backtest near 6100-6147 and for $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ back near 534-541.

It's possible we see the Indices try and grind higher from these current levels but I'm seeing more weakness in tech/chip stocks so be careful over the next 3 weeks of trading. Smart money may be selling into strength and waiting for a deeper pull back before going long again.

For whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:

🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!

Find out more here：
💰Join the TB Contra Telegram Group to Get $10 Trading Vouchers Now🎉
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Monetary policy, various types of price indices... Here is everything about the macro economy!

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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{"i18n":{"language":"en_US"},"detailType":1,"isChannel":false,"data":{"magic":2,"id":473966652940480,"tweetId":"473966652940480","gmtCreate":1756736539128,"gmtModify":1756737000679,"author":{"id":10000000000010920,"idStr":"10000000000010921","authorId":10000000000010920,"authorIdStr":"10000000000010921","name":"EliteOptionsTrader","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5a78e8ff8100616ecc6724330507917f","vip":8,"userType":8,"introduction":".\n","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"fanSize":717,"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[{"themeId":"4143db0c6a084fb6bb4cba1db09bcbb5","categoryId":"7cf744760f454845a1870a05ea4e151d","name":"Macro Trend","type":0,"rnLink":"https://laohu8.com/RN?name=RNTheme&page=/theme/detail&rndata={\"themeId\":4143db0c6a084fb6bb4cba1db09bcbb5}&rnconfig={\"headerBarHidden\": true}","description":"Monetary policy, various types of price indices...  Here is everything about the macro economy!","image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b92fcdcbb675f48af67c8cfbd53f43a3"}],"images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/216cd640fc711956f23be25cb35f1107","width":"2160","height":"1946"},{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/381b104429792cae7f67dc1120e2458d","width":"1080","height":"1080"}],"coverImages":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/216cd640fc711956f23be25cb35f1107","width":"2160","height":"1946"}],"title":"Macro Picture of US Stock","html":"<html><head></head><body><p>The  <a data-mention-id=\".SPX\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"S&amp;P 500\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$S&amp;P 500(.SPX)$</a>  is up 33% and the  <a data-mention-id=\".IXIC\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NASDAQ\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.IXIC\">$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$</a>  is up 41% since April 7th.</p><p>Medium to long term we will see the market move much higher from these current levels BUT in the short term... the risk/reward to the upside is shrinking. </p><p>I would be more cautious this week after NFP data on Friday. We also have Core CPI data on Sept 11th. If the numbers come in over expectations there's still a possibility of no rate cut this month. </p><p>If you have a small account/newer trader, the best risk/reward for a swing trade would be to WAIT for $SPX to backtest near 6100-6147 and for  <a data-mention-id=\"QQQ\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"Invesco QQQ\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/QQQ\">$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$</a>  back near 534-541. </p><p>It's possible we see the Indices try and grind higher from these current levels but I'm seeing more weakness in tech/chip stocks so be careful over the next 3 weeks of trading. <strong>Smart money may be selling into strength and waiting for a deeper pull back before going long again.</strong></p><p>For whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:</p><p>🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!</p><blockquote><p>Find out more here：</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/TW/367769452580952\" title=\"💰Join the TB Contra Telegram Group to Get $10 Trading Vouchers Now🎉\" class=\"\">💰Join the TB Contra Telegram Group to Get $10 Trading Vouchers Now🎉</a></p></li><li><p><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/post/468973594943616\" title=\"Cash Boost Account Supports CPF/SRS Linking, Enjoy 0 Custody Fees and 0 Commission*!\" class=\"\">Cash Boost Account Supports CPF/SRS Linking, Enjoy 0 Custody Fees and 0 Commission*!</a></p></li><li><p><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/TW/455186728267792\" title=\"🎉The Cash Boost “Daily Draws” is Now Live – Come Join the Fun!\" class=\"\">🎉The Cash Boost “Daily Draws” is Now Live – Come Join the Fun!</a></p></li><li><p><a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/forapp/rules/?id=contradraw-0630\" title=\"Your first trade of the day = 1 lucky draw chance!\" class=\"\">Your first trade of the day = 1 lucky draw chance!</a></p></li><li><p><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/TW/413454436958416\" title=\"💰CBA Mini Course 1: What is Cash Boost Account(CBA)?\" class=\"\">💰CBA Mini Course 1: What is Cash Boost Account(CBA)?</a></p></li></ul></blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/216cd640fc711956f23be25cb35f1107\" tg-width=\"2160\" tg-height=\"1946\"></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/381b104429792cae7f67dc1120e2458d\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1080\"></p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>The  <a data-mention-id=\".SPX\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"S&amp;P 500\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$S&amp;P 500(.SPX)$</a>  is up 33% and the  <a data-mention-id=\".IXIC\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NASDAQ\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.IXIC\">$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$</a>  is up 41% since April 7th.</p><p>Medium to long term we will see the market move much higher from these current levels BUT in the short term... the risk/reward to the upside is shrinking. </p><p>I would be more cautious this week after NFP data on Friday. We also have Core CPI data on Sept 11th. If the numbers come in over expectations there's still a possibility of no rate cut this month. </p><p>If you have a small account/newer trader, the best risk/reward for a swing trade would be to WAIT for $SPX to backtest near 6100-6147 and for  <a data-mention-id=\"QQQ\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"Invesco QQQ\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/QQQ\">$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$</a>  back near 534-541. </p><p>It's possible we see the Indices try and grind higher from these current levels but I'm seeing more weakness in tech/chip stocks so be careful over the next 3 weeks of trading. <strong>Smart money may be selling into strength and waiting for a deeper pull back before going long again.</strong></p><p>For whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:</p><p>🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!</p><blockquote><p>Find out more here：</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/TW/367769452580952\" title=\"💰Join the TB Contra Telegram Group to Get $10 Trading Vouchers Now🎉\" class=\"\">💰Join the TB Contra Telegram Group to Get $10 Trading Vouchers Now🎉</a></p></li><li><p><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/post/468973594943616\" title=\"Cash Boost Account Supports CPF/SRS Linking, Enjoy 0 Custody Fees and 0 Commission*!\" class=\"\">Cash Boost Account Supports CPF/SRS Linking, Enjoy 0 Custody Fees and 0 Commission*!</a></p></li><li><p><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/TW/455186728267792\" title=\"🎉The Cash Boost “Daily Draws” is Now Live – Come Join the Fun!\" class=\"\">🎉The Cash Boost “Daily Draws” is Now Live – Come Join the Fun!</a></p></li><li><p><a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/forapp/rules/?id=contradraw-0630\" title=\"Your first trade of the day = 1 lucky draw chance!\" class=\"\">Your first trade of the day = 1 lucky draw chance!</a></p></li><li><p><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/TW/413454436958416\" title=\"💰CBA Mini Course 1: What is Cash Boost Account(CBA)?\" class=\"\">💰CBA Mini Course 1: What is Cash Boost Account(CBA)?</a></p></li></ul></blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/216cd640fc711956f23be25cb35f1107\" tg-width=\"2160\" tg-height=\"1946\"></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/381b104429792cae7f67dc1120e2458d\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1080\"></p></body></html>","text":"The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ is up 33% and the $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ is up 41% since April 7th. 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Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly! Find out more here： 💰Join the TB Contra Telegram Group to Get $10 Trading Vouchers Now🎉 Cash Boost Account Supports CPF/SRS Linking, Enjoy 0 Custody Fees and 0 Commission*! 🎉The Cash Boost “Daily Draws” is Now Live – Come Join the Fun! Your first trade of the day = 1 lucky draw chance! 💰CBA Mini Course 1: What is Cash Boost Account(CBA)?","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":154,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":10,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/473966652940480","repostId":0,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1347,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[".IXIC","QQQ",".SPX"],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":true,"length":1175,"optionInvolvedFlag":false,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/473966652940480"}