MHh
09-29
I agree fully with his views. There is no way around except to agree that valuations of the magnificent 7 and s&p500 are high yet not in irrational exuberance. With expected rate cuts for the rest of the year, that should continue to drive stock prices up. So, I agree with his strategy to reduce aggressive positions and to increase defensive positions. However, I would do this closer to the year end santa rally to try to gain more returns.


My portfolio is still heavily on the s&p500. Across the board, it is currently hard to find defensive assets at attractive prices. For now, I would try to take profit at a later time to yield cash so that I can buy during dips. I think from next year onwards, cash might be king when the market corrects or potentially a recession. I would prefer to have cash for bargain hunting. @LuckyPiggie @HelenJanet @Kaixiang @DiAngel @Universe宇宙 @SPOT_ON @Wayneqq @SR050321 @Success88 @Fenger1188 come join
Market Master 101 | Howard: Where Do We Stand in 2025?
In his recent memo to Oaktree’s clients, Howard Marks outlined his views on the current high levels of the market. He believes the market has not yet entered a phase of irrational exuberance, but still advises clients to adopt a Level 5 defense (reducing aggressive positions and increasing defensive holdings). What do you think of his views on the valuations of the Magnificent 7 and the S&P 500? How is your own portfolio allocated right now? Since the market is at elevated levels, should we be holding some defensive assets?
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Comments

  • Norton Rebecca
    09-30
    Norton Rebecca
    S&P 500 heavy too! Wait for Santa Rally to take profit—cash = 2025 bargain power!
    • MHh
      Hopefully in time to take profit!
  • Reg Ford
    09-30
    Reg Ford
    Rate cuts boost now, but 2025 correction’s coming! Save profit for cash,hunt bargains then!
    • MHh
      Wouldn’t take profit on all as the rally might continue into 2026
  • zingle
    09-30
    zingle
    Smart decision
    • MHh
      Thank you[Smile]
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