Yes, a 50% drop is possible, b

bennyser

11-18

Yes, a 50% drop is possible, but not guaranteed.

Why it could happen

Macro risk – inflation, high interest rates, recession fears, or market shocks could trigger big sell-offs.

High volatility & leverage – Bitcoin markets are thin; if leveraged positions get liquidated, prices can fall fast.

Cycle cooling down – Post-halving cycles often include big pullbacks.

Regulation risk – New rules or crackdowns could scare investors.

Why it might NOT happen

Strong institutional support – ETFs, corporate treasuries, and big funds provide buying strength.

Adoption continues – Bitcoin is still seen as “digital gold” by many investors.

Long-term holders help stabilize price during corrections.

Overall

A 50% drop is possible, especially if macro economy turns bad.

But strong institutional buying makes a full crash less likely than in past cycles.

Good to be cautious, manage risk, and avoid too much leverage.

Bitcoin Rebounds, Lifting Crypto Stocks: Is Bull Cycle Nearing Its End?

Crypto stocks rebound as btc recovers 2%. Coinbase is pushing beyond pure crypto trading, expanding into equities and prediction markets in a bold move toward becoming a “one-stop” financial super app. Strategy defended its positioning after index-removal concerns, with Saylor backing the stock with a $2.8 billion commitment. Historically, post-halving rallies have often been followed by sharp drawdowns. Is this Bitcoin rebound a bull-market reset or a bear-market bounce? Does ETF + political support change Bitcoin’s post-halving cycle?

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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Why it could happen Macro risk – inflation, high interest rates, recession fears, or market shocks could trigger big sell-offs. High volatility & leverage – Bitcoin markets are thin; if leveraged positions get liquidated, prices can fall fast. Cycle cooling down – Post-halving cycles often include big pullbacks. Regulation risk – New rules or crackdowns could scare investors. Why it might NOT happen Strong institutional support – ETFs, corporate treasuries, and big funds provide buying strength. Adoption continues – Bitcoin is still seen as “digital gold” by many investors. Long-term holders help stabilize price during corrections. Overall A 50% drop is possible, especially if macro economy turns bad. But strong institutional buying makes a full crash less likely than in past cycles. 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