goblintheking
12-04

The December rally has a reasonable chance of continuing, thanks to historical seasonality patterns often called the “Santa Claus Rally,” lighter trading volumes, and year-end optimism that can boost equities. Technical setups and investor sentiment could further support gains if macroeconomic conditions remain stable. However, the rally is far from guaranteed — unexpected inflation data, central bank decisions, or a slowdown in consumer spending could quickly reverse gains. While history and seasonal trends provide some tailwinds, it’s best to view any December rally with cautious optimism, seeing it as a potential opportunity rather than a certainty.

Santa Rally in Doubt? Will BOJ Rate Hike Deepen Market Downturn?
U.S. stocks edged slightly lower on Monday, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq underperforming the broader market. Investor attention remains firmly on the ongoing sell-off in AI-related stocks. Major technology names such as Broadcom and Oracle extended last week’s weakness, weighing on both the tech sector and overall U.S. equity markets. Notably, Broadcom has now fallen for three consecutive sessions, marking its worst three-day performance since 2020.
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