Why $TTD just triggered my "Fa

2025-12-24

Why $TTD just triggered my "Falling Knife" Protocol 🔪📉

After analyzing 26 candidates, The Trade Desk ($TTD) is the first to pass all 4 of my strict quantitative rules. Here is the breakdown:

1️⃣ The Trigger: Down 70.8% from 52-week highs. (Extreme Market Panic ✅)

2️⃣ Elite Quality: ROIC sits at ~27%. This is a capital-efficient powerhouse.

3️⃣ Safety: Negative Net Debt. They have $1.4B in cash vs $0.37B in debt. (Fortress Balance Sheet ✅)

4️⃣ Valuation: Current price $37.26 vs. Consensus Target of $61.73. That's a ~40% Margin of Safety.

The Thesis: The market is panicking over Amazon's ad moves, but TTD remains the king of the "Open Internet" and Connected TV. At these levels, the risk/reward is the best I've seen in the tech sector this year.

What do you think? Is the bottom in for TTD or is there more pain to come? 👇

#Investing #TheTradeDesk #StockMarket #ValueInvesting

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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