Why I’m buying the $MELI "EPS Miss" — 104% Growth in Credit is the Real Story 💳🚀
The market just gave us a gift. $MELI fell on a short-term EPS miss, but the underlying "Elite" metrics are the strongest Ive seen in years. Here is why I just added it to my portfolio at $2016:
1. The Fintech Explosion 🏦
The market is worried about "strategic spending," but look at where that money is going. Mercado Pago’s credit card portfolio grew 104% YoY (reaching $4.8B). This isn't just a marketplace anymore; its becoming the largest digital bank in Latin America.
Monthly Active Users: 72 Million (+29% YoY)
Total Credit Portfolio: $11.0 Billion (+83% YoY)
2. The 27-Quarter Streak 📈
MercadoLibre just marked its 27th consecutive quarter of >30% revenue growth. Revenue hit $7.4B (up 39%). Think about that: even at this massive scale, they are still growing like a startup. (Source: Q3 2025 Letter to Shareholders, Page 1).
3. The Protocol Match (My "Falling Knife" Rule) 🔪
Quality: ROIC remains elite, and the company is Net Debt Negative (more cash than debt).
Bargain: At $2016, it is trading at a ~30% discount to its intrinsic value of ~$2,900.
The "Dip": We are buying a 20% pullback from the June highs despite record-breaking revenue and items sold (Source: Q3 2025 Results).
Bottom Line: I prioritize Revenue and User Growth over short-term margin compression from logistics investments. $MELI is building a moat that competitors can’t touch.
#ValueInvesting #FallingKnife #Fintech #Growth #MELI
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