Gold has been on a crazy ride. It dropped hard in the last few days, then jumped back up in one big move. Now the price is above $5,000/oz and traders are very nervous.
What’s behind the move?
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Position unwinds and margin calls after a parabolic rally
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Geopolitical tension (an Iranian drone approaching a US aircraft carrier was shot down)
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A potential shift at the Fed, plus higher futures margin requirements
Analysts still see a longer-term bull trend, but in the short term, volatility is extreme. Key levels like $4,400 support and $5,000–$5,100 resistance are in focus.
So here’s the question for this week 👇
Where will spot gold $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ close this Friday ? Pick ONE of the ranges below:
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A. Strong bullish – closes above $5,000
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B. Flat to slightly up – closes between $4,800 and $5,000
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C. Pullback – closes between $4,500 and $4,800
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D. Big drop – closes below $4,500
🗳 How to Join
Comment like this:
I pick A/B/C/D. My view: _____
Examples:
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“I pick B. I think gold will move in a small range this week.”
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“I pick A. Geopolitical risk could push gold above $5,000.”
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“I pick C. The price moved up too fast and may correct.”
🎁 Rewards
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Participation：Everyone who votes and leaves a comment gets 5 Tiger Coins.
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Best Ideas：We will choose 5 comments with clear and interesting views gets 100 Tiger Coins each.
⏰ Event Duration
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From February 5 to February 6 at 22:00 SGT $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ $SPDR Gold ETF(GLD)$ $VanEck Gold Miners ETF(GDX)$ $Gold - main 2604(GCmain)$ $E-Micro Gold - main 2604(MGCmain)$
Comments
在我们刚刚看到的剧烈下跌和反弹之后，我认为黄金更有可能消化涨幅，而不是在周五收盘时朝着一个方向努力。市场感到紧张而不是自信，这通常会导致波动的区间交易。
最近的走势看起来更多是由强制平仓、利润率压力和整体风险推动的，而不是新的信念购买。虽然地缘政治紧张局势和美联储不确定性仍在结构性上支撑黄金，但大幅反弹至5,000美元上方可能会拉动短期需求并限制近期上涨空间。
在这种环境下，我预计盘中波动较大，但周收盘价相对有限，5000美元为关键阻力，4800美元为近期支撑。从长期来看，我对黄金仍然持建设性态度，但从短期来看，盘整比另一次突破更有意义。
$FUT:Gold - main 2602(GCmain)$
$SPDR Gold Shares(GLD)$
@老虎事件 @TigerStars @Tiger_comments @TigerClub
My pick is B - Flat to slightly up USD 4800 to 5000.
Why?
Geopolitical tension is already priced in. The Trump Iran rhetoric has pushed gold sharply higher but markets tend to pause after the first fear spike. The safe haven bid stays alive but the panic premium cools.
Liquidity stays supportive. With US deficits ballooning and bond yields struggling to stay positive, Gold has support.
Momentum is stretched. After a strong run, Gold often consolidates as traders take profit and funds rebalance.
In short , you have Gold holding its gains, maybe nudges higher but doesn't yet have the catalyst for a clean breakout above USD 5000.
Gold right now is like a coiled spring that is already half released. It is still powerful but not at maximum tension.
@TigerEvents @Tiger_comments @TigerStars @TigerClub @CaptainTiger
My View:
Gold sharp rebound and acceptance above $5,000 suggest strong dip buying. As long as momentum holds and risk sentiment stays elevated, gold could close the week above $5k 🚀🚀
Gold is gold 🚀🎁