$GPK near-term pivot at $13.70 with eyes on $15.43

$Graphic Packaging(GPK)$

Graphic Packaging Holding(GPK) Soared +10.31%: Strong Rebound from Oversold, Eyes $15.43 Resistance

Latest Close Data

Closed at $13.70 on 2026-02-04, up +10.31% (+$1.28) from the previous close. The stock remains significantly below its 52-week high of $28.19.

Core Market Drivers

The strong single-day rebound follows a period of significant selling pressure, as indicated by recent heavy net capital outflows.
The stock's attractive dividend yield of 3.14% and low valuation may be attracting value-focused buyers.

Technical Analysis

Volume surged to 15.82M, with a Volume Ratio of 1.25, confirming strong buying interest.
The RSI(6) rebounded sharply from an oversold level of 11.7 to 39.6, indicating a powerful short-term momentum shift.
The MACD remains in negative territory (DIF: -0.44, DEA: -0.25), signaling the broader downtrend is not yet fully reversed but showing a potential deceleration in bearish momentum.

Key Price Levels

Primary Support: $12.33 (Previous support level).
Strong Resistance: $15.43 (Key technical hurdle).
Immediate Pivot: $13.70 (Today's close, crucial for continuation).

Valuation Perspective

The stock trades at a TTM P/E of 8.06 and a Forward P/E of 6.86, which is well below its historical average of 9.46 and the -1 Standard Deviation level (8.16), suggesting deep undervaluation.

Analyst Targets

12 analysts have an average price target of $19.14 (upside of ~40%). The consensus is mostly "Hold" (9 analysts), with 1 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, and 1 Underperform rating.

Weekly Outlook

Expect consolidation near the $13.70 pivot. A sustained break above $13.70 could lead to a test of the $15.43 resistance. Failure to hold above $13.00 may see a retest of the $12.33 support zone.

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