$United States Oil Fund LP(USO

A bit wary of such parabolic move on prices, which typically precedes an eventual plunge.

A bit FOMO though, so I am considering trading some short term long call options to hopefully ride the upside as the conflict continues on.

A better trade might involve a put ratio spread, where we sell a 25 delta short put and use thepremium to finance two 10 delta long puts, a convexity play banking on the eventual crash in oil prices if the conflict reaches some form of resolution.

I already have some long call contracts on XLE in my Saxo account, also considering to TP on those positions.

DYODD. 🙏

Modified in.03-09

Oil Pullback While Banks See $120: Is the War Risk Still On The Table?

Iran is implementing a “targeted strategy”: instead of indiscriminately blocking all shipping lanes, it is allowing only vessels from specific countries to pass. Analysts warn that the global oil market is severely underestimating the disruptive impact of this strategy. Due to the extreme lack of transparency in passage criteria, war risk premiums have not declined—instead, they continue to surge because of unpredictable risks. Although oil prices have recently pulled back, Has the risk ended? Will Brent crude break above Citi’s projected $120 ceiling and surge toward $140?

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Comments

Carmenz
03-09
Carmenz
It seems like XLE hard to go up again

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