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03-18

πŸš€ Nebius & Rocket Lab – Fundraising at the Top or Opportunity in Disguise?

Both Nebius and Rocket Lab are raising capital at a time when their stock prices have been strong. On the surface, this looks negative (and we already see the market reacting with pullbacks), but there are 2 key ways to look at it:

πŸ“‰ Short-term:

- Dilution fears β†’ stock pressure

- Market tends to sell first, think later

- Not surprising to see -5% to -10% reactions

πŸ“ˆ Medium to long-term:

- Raising funds = confidence in expansion pipeline

- Especially for AI infrastructure (Nebius) and space/logistics (RKLB)

- If deployed well, this can accelerate growth significantly

πŸ’‘ So… when is the bottom?

Historically, for these kinds of announcements:

- First drop = emotional selling

- Second phase = stabilization (few days to weeks)

- Real opportunity comes when selling volume dries up

πŸ‘‰ My take:

I wouldn’t rush to catch the first dip. Better to:

- Wait for price to stabilise

- Accumulate in tranches

- Focus on execution of the capital raised

High growth stories don’t die from dilution β€” they fail from poor execution.

Curious to hear β€” are you buying this dip or staying sidelined?

Nebius & Rocket Lab Raises Funds at High: When to Bottom?
Nebius plans to issue $3.75 billion in convertible senior notes to fund the buildout. Following the announcement, its stock dropped over 10%, giving back part of its previous gains. Rocket Lab is raising funds to ensure the smooth first flight of its next-generation Neutron rocket in 2026. The company is conducting an ATM (at-the-market) offering to raise up to $1 billion in common stock. After the announcement, RKLB shares fell ~5% in after-hours trading. How long before it’s attractive to buy the dip?
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